Everton - Liverpool (2-1)
Arsenal - Southampton (1-1)
Fulham - Swansea City (1-3)
Hull City Tigers - Crystal Palace (2-0)
Newcastle United - Norwich City (3-0)
Stoke - Sunderland (2-2)
West Ham United - Chelsea (1-3)
Manchester City - Tottenham Hotspurs (3-1)
Cardiff City - Manchester United (1-2)
West Bromwich Albion - Aston Villa (2-2)
What implications will these results have?
1) Arsenal 26 pts (+12)
2) Chelsea 24 pts (+10)
3) Liverpool 23 pts (+10)
4) Southampton 23 pts (+10)
5) Manchester United 23 pts (+6)
6) Everton 23 pts (+5)
7) Manchester City 22 pts (+18)
8) Newcastle United 20 pts (+2)
9) Tottenham Hotspurs 20 pts (+1)
Imagine the Top 9 separated by just 6 points. Or even for the most optimistic of people, say if Southampton somehow wins at Arsenal, they will be tied at the top! Just behind on goal difference, and the gap will be 5 points between the Top 9. A very intriguing season lies in store.
Monday, 11 November 2013
Saturday, 2 November 2013
Sungai Limau by-election
With 2 days of campaigning to go before the actual voting process on this Monday (4/11/2013), I'm observing a very tight race, with BN sure to significantly slash the majority held by PAS in GE13. They are in a position to win this seat for the 1st time since 1990. Let's consider the demographics below:
Malays - 25,323 voters
Chinese - 1,842 voters
Indian - 15 voters
Total - 27,180 voters
I would think that the prediction would be as follows:
Malays - 85% turnout (21,525 voters)
UMNO 10,945 - 10,580 PAS
Chinese - 75% turnout (1,382 voters)
UMNO 576 - 806 PAS
Indians - 100% turnout (15 voters)
UMNO 10 - 5 PAS
Total:
UMNO 11,531 - 11,391 PAS (Majority: 140 votes)
Total voter turnout: 22,922 voters (84.33%)
We have to remember that this is a by-election, whereby BN is always able to focus a lot of their machinery and money there. Whether or not the promises would be fulfilled is another matter altogether. The long-term implications to PAS would be severe, even if they suffer only a reduction in majority, what more a loss in what is considered their stronghold. This would mean the strengthening of Mukhriz's position in Kedah, which would make it impossible for PR to wrestle Kedah once more in GE14. Also, another seat for BN would mean strengthening its position to 22-14 in the State Assembly, making it just 2 seats away from gaining a 2/3 majority, which is more than likely to happen in GE14 with Mahathir's son at the helm.
Malays - 25,323 voters
Chinese - 1,842 voters
Indian - 15 voters
Total - 27,180 voters
I would think that the prediction would be as follows:
Malays - 85% turnout (21,525 voters)
UMNO 10,945 - 10,580 PAS
Chinese - 75% turnout (1,382 voters)
UMNO 576 - 806 PAS
Indians - 100% turnout (15 voters)
UMNO 10 - 5 PAS
Total:
UMNO 11,531 - 11,391 PAS (Majority: 140 votes)
Total voter turnout: 22,922 voters (84.33%)
We have to remember that this is a by-election, whereby BN is always able to focus a lot of their machinery and money there. Whether or not the promises would be fulfilled is another matter altogether. The long-term implications to PAS would be severe, even if they suffer only a reduction in majority, what more a loss in what is considered their stronghold. This would mean the strengthening of Mukhriz's position in Kedah, which would make it impossible for PR to wrestle Kedah once more in GE14. Also, another seat for BN would mean strengthening its position to 22-14 in the State Assembly, making it just 2 seats away from gaining a 2/3 majority, which is more than likely to happen in GE14 with Mahathir's son at the helm.
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