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Saturday, 16 April 2011

P192 - Mas Gading

N1 - Opar
Ranum anak Mina (SUPP-BN) = 3,360 votes (-225)
Boniface Willy anak Tumek (PKR) = 1,354 votes (+1354)
Stephen anak Sagir (SNAP) = 674 votes (-728)
Joseph Jindy anak Peter Rosen (Bebas) = 475 votes (+475)

Majority = 2,006 votes [2006 = 2,183 votes]
No. of voters = 8,099
Spoilt votes = 68 votes
Voter turnout = 73.47%

Bidayuh 75.66%; Iban 13.37%; Chinese 7.24%; Melanau 3.03%; Orang Ulu 0.43%; Others 0.27%

BN votes = 3,360; Non-BN votes = 2,028; Bebas votes = 475
Majority = 1,332

BN still has its majority being reduced slightly despite the multi-cornered fight, which would have yielded a lower majority had it been a straight fight. However, the biggest gainer is PKR in terms of the votes gained, while SNAP is the biggest loser due to the presence of PKR.


N2 - Tasik Biru
Peter Nansian anak Ngusie (SPDP-BN) = 5,829 votes (-564)
John Tenewi Nuek (PKR) = 3,757 votes (+3,757)
Frankie Jurem anak Nyombui (SNAP) = 825 votes (-2,365)

Majority = 2,072 votes [2006 = 3,203 votes]
No. of voters = 15,100
Spoilt votes = 120 votes
Voter turnout = 69.91%

Bidayuh 64.8%; Chinese 27.03%; Melanau 5.67%; Iban 2.07%; Others 0.43%

BN votes = 5,829; Non-BN votes = 4,582
Majority = 1,247

Same reason as the above despite the 3 cornered fight. Majority could have been even lower if it was a straight fight. PKR is again the biggest gainer in gained votes, while SNAP is again the biggest loser.

Just to sum it up, the Bidayuhs are mostly not that ready for change. It's gonna be a hard parliamentary seat to win for PR in the next GE, as the total majority is 2,579 (1,332 + 1,247) in the 2 state seats above. However, there is a sense of optimism, as long the ground work is started immediately.

Total:
BN votes = 9,189; PKR votes = 5,111; SNAP votes = 1,300; Bebas = 475
BN 9,189 - 6,411 Non-BN; Bebas = 475

Prediction for GE: BN to retain Mas Gading parliamentary seat...