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Wednesday, 5 October 2011

P195 - Bandar Kuching

N9 - Padungan
Wong King Wei (DAP) = 11,957 votes (+11,957)
Sim Kiang Chiok (SUPP-BN) = 4,073 votes (-2,512)
Dominique Ng Kim Ho (Bebas) = 439 votes (-7,563)

Majority = 7,884 votes [2006 = 1,417 votes]
No. of voters = 23,499
Voters turnout (without spoilt votes) = 70.08%

Chinese 91%; Melanau 5%; Iban 1.6%; Bidayuh 1.1%; Others 1%; Orang Ulu 0.1%

This seat was previously held by the now independent Ng Kim Ho, who had quit PKR due to the dispute for this seat with the DAP. When DAP had agreed with PKR to fight in this seat, he left. Regardless, it shows that voters vote based on party, and almost no emphasis on candidate, as he had found out to his cost. Due to the wave of anti-Taib, the urbanites rose to the call and gave DAP a thumping majority over the waning SUPP. However, one must note that this is a Chinese majority seat, and it is no surprise that the sentiments of the East Malaysian Chinese are similar to those of the counterparts of West Malaysia.


N10 - Pending
Violet Yong Wui Wui (DAP) = 14,375 votes (+3,223)
Sim Kui Hian (SUPP-BN) = 6,780 votes (-480)

Majority = 7,595 votes [2006 = 4,372 votes]
No. of voters = 29,375
Voters turnout [without spoilt votes] = 72.02%

Chinese 90%; Melanau 5%; Iban 3%; Bidayuh 1.4%; Others 0.5%; Orang Ulu 0.1%

This seat is still a stronghold of DAP, a fortress that became even more formidable as the recent state elections suggest. It also suggests that the urban areas are mostly anti-establishment, making it very difficult for BN to regain their footing due to the age of the Internet. But like the Padungan seat, this is another Chinese majority seat, and it's no surprise to see DAP having a strong foothold on it. They are recruiting as many non-Chinese members as they can, but I don't believe that they still have the confidence to fight in seats that are not Chinese majority. But one thing is for sure, parties like MCA and SUPP are depending upon UMNO and PBB for their survival in this difficult political climate.

To sum it all up, all I can say to BN is that they can forget Kuching. It's so urban that for them to win, they have to ask the pigs to literally fly. That is how impossible it is.

Total: Non-BN 26,332 - 10,853 BN

Prediction for next GE: DAP to retain Bandar Kuching hands down...

Monday, 11 July 2011

My recent uni results

1st of all, I can't praise Allah highly enough for His endless bliss in my life.

AFW3040 - Accounting Theory
Internal marks: 18.5/30
Exam marks: 52.5/70
Total: 71/100 (Distinction)

BTW3221 - Taxation Law & Practice
Internal marks: 21/30
Exam marks: 49/70
Total: 70/100 (Distinction)

ECW3146 - Regional Development & Policy
Internal marks: 33/40
Exam marks: 48/60
Total: 81/100 (High Distinction)

ECW3830 - Business, Competition & Regulation
Internal marks: 24/30
Exam marks: 57/70
Total: 81/100 (High Distinction)

Friday, 8 July 2011

P194 - Petra Jaya

N6 - Tupong
Daud bin Abdul Rahman (PBB-BN) = 8,304 votes (+1,419)
Baharuddin @ Din Shah bin Mokhsen (PKR) = 3,753 votes (+1,440)

Majority = 4,551 votes [2006 = 4,572 votes]
No. of voters = 17,253
Voters turnout (without spoilt votes) = 69.88%

Melanau 79.6%; Chinese 19%; Iban 0.5%; Others 0.5%; Bidayuh 0.4%

BN's majority in Tupong has relatively remained around the same level as in 2006, albeit reduced by only 21 votes. Both parties have increased their vote base, although PBB still has a strong footing among the Melanau voters.


N7 - Samariang
Sharifah Hasidah bt Sayeed Aman Ghazali (PBB-BN) = 8,008 votes (+2,643)
Zulrusdi bin Mohamad Hol (PKR) = 2,577 votes (-300)

Majority = 5,431 votes (2006 = 2,488 votes)
No. of voters = 15,543
Voters turnout (without spoilt votes) = 68.1%

Melanau 89.19%; Bidayuh 7.14%; Others 1.84%; Chinese 1.83%

PBB had a big swing in its favour, further consolidating their position in Sarawak with the ever present influence of Taib Mahmud among the Samariang voters. PKR suffered a decline in support here, due partly to the announcement of appointing Baru Bian as new CM if PR had won in Sarawak.


N8 - Satok
Abg Abd Rahman Zohari bin Abg Openg (PBB-BN) = 4,691 votes (+469)
Ahmad Nazib bin Johari (PKR) = 1,891 votes (+467)

Majority = 2,800 votes (2006 = 2,798 votes)
No. of voters = 10,447
Voters turnout (without spoilt votes) = 63%

Melanau 80.3%; Chinese 19%; Iban 0.4%; Others 0.2%; Bidayuh 0.1%

PBB's majority increased by 2 votes from 2006, as both parties gained an increase in vote base. With this being another majority Melanau seat, it is no surprise that PBB has a firm footing in Sarawak for a long time.

To sum it all up, I have only 2 words to say to PKR: FORGET IT!

Total:
BN 21,003 - 8,221 Non-BN

Prediction for next GE: BN to retain Petra Jaya hands down...

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

BERSIH 2.0 compromise

I would just like to make a statement to say a job well done to the Yang di-Pertuan Agong for intervening in the BERSIH crisis and to allow BERSIH and Najib to reach a compromise. At least BERSIH are now able to rally in the stadium without really affecting KL traffic on July 9, and to Najib, well done for being able to show that you are a leader that can compromise, although I am still not happy as a citizen that the PSM6 (including the Sungai Siput MP) are still being held under the draconian Emergency Ordinance. As much as you want to leave it to the police, you have to intervene to show your good side of democracy. It is high time to correct the wrongs that you made in the 1st place.

TO FREE AND FAIR ELECTIONS!

Waiting for results

AFW3040 - Accounting Theory
Internals: 18.5/30

BTW3221 - Income Tax Law
Internals: 21/30

ECW3830 - Business, Competition & Regulation
Internals: 24/30

ECW3146 - Regional Development & Policy
Internals: 33/40

Results will be coming out this Sunday night... Pray hard for good results...

Friday, 17 June 2011

Predictions for EPL next season (August)

Saturday (13/8/2011)

Blackburn v Wolverhampton [2-2]
Fulham v Aston Villa [2-0]
Liverpool v Sunderland [3-1]
Man City v Swansea [5-0]
Newcastle v Arsenal [1-1]
QPR v Bolton [1-2]
Stoke v Chelsea [0-2]
Tottenham v Everton [2-1]
West Brom v Man Utd [1-2]
Wigan v Norwich [1-0]

Saturday (20/8/2011)

Arsenal v Liverpool [1-1]
Aston Villa v Blackburn [2-1]
Bolton v Man City [1-2]
Chelsea v West Brom [4-0]
Everton v QPR [2-0]
Man Utd v Tottenham [2-1]
Norwich v Stoke [0-0]
Sunderland v Newcastle [2-2]
Swansea v Wigan [2-1]
Wolverhampton v Fulham [1-0]

Saturday (27/8/2011)

Aston Villa v Wolverhampton [2-0]
Blackburn v Everton [1-2]
Chelsea v Norwich [6-0]
Liverpool v Bolton [3-1]
Man Utd v Arsenal [2-0]
Newcastle v Fulham [1-1]
Swansea v Sunderland [1-2]
Tottenham v Man City [0-1]
West Brom v Stoke [1-1]
Wigan v QPR [2-1]

MONTHLY TABLE (August)
Arsenal 0-2-1 [2-4] --> 15th
Aston Villa 2-0-1 [4-3] --> 6th
Blackburn 0-1-2 [4-6] --> 17th
Bolton 1-0-2 [4-6] --> 13th
Chelsea 3-0-0 [12-0] --> 1st
Everton 2-0-1 [5-3] --> 5th
Fulham 1-1-1 [3-2] --> 8th
Liverpool 2-1-0 [7-3] --> 4th
Man City 3-0-0 [8-1] --> 2nd
Man Utd 3-0-0 [6-2] --> 3rd
Newcastle 0-3-0 [4-4] --> 11th
Norwich 0-1-2 [0-7] --> 19th
QPR 0-0-3 [2-6] --> 20th
Stoke 0-2-1 [1-3] --> 16th
Sunderland 1-1-1 [5-6] --> 9th
Swansea 1-0-2 [3-8] -->14th
Tottenham 1-0-2 [3-4] --> 12th
West Brom 0-1-2 [2-7] --> 18th
Wigan 2-0-1 [4-3] --> 7th
Wolverhampton 1-1-1 [3-4] --> 10th

Flying off the blocks as usual for Chelsea, while Man Utd will have a tough start which they will get it over with by the skin of their teeth. Man City would also be expected to fly out of the blocks, with Liverpool lurking behind under Daglish's stewardship. QPR is expected to struggle early on in the season, if they sell off their star Adel Taarabt. Spurs would also encounter a slow start to the season with matches against both Manchesters predicted to end in defeat.


Tuesday, 3 May 2011

P193 - Santubong

N3 - Tanjung Datu
Adenan bin Satim (PBB-BN) = 4,218 votes (-327)
Nani bt Sahari (PAS) = 1,002 votes (+1,002)
Gilbert Asson Anak Kulong (Bebas) = 215 votes (-142)

Majority = 3,216 votes [2006 = 4,136 votes]
No. of voters = 7,883
Voter turnout (without spoilt votes) = 68.95%

Melanau 50.99%; Chinese 20.49%; Iban 19.68%; Bidayuh 8.58%; Others 0.26%

BN has their majority slightly reduced, probably due to some Chinese and Iban votes going to PAS, while PBB grabs the lion's share of the Melanau votes. PAS is the biggest gainer in gained votes (partly due to contesting in place of PKR), while BN is the biggest loser in lost votes, even though it is not by much.


N4 - Pantai Damai
Abdul Rahman bin Junaidi (PBB-BN) = 7,425 votes (+2,208)
Wan Zainal Abidin bin Wan Senusi (PKR) = 2,354 votes (-699)
Suhaini bin Selamat (Bebas) = 111 votes (+111)

Majority = 5,071 votes [2006 = 2,164 votes]
No. of voters = 13,761
Voter turnout (without spoilt votes) = 71.87%

Melanau 93.4%; Chinese 3.7%; Iban 1.9%; Bidayuh 1.07%; Others 0.45%; Orang Ulu 0.05%

BN has increased their majority by more than 2-fold. This is despite the reduction in Melanau voters from 2006, which consists of nearly 96%. It goes to show that majority of Melanau people are solidly behind PBB, which is headed by Taib Mahmud. This is maybe partly due to the fact that Baru Bian will be the next CM as announced by DAP, if PR had won the elections. It is also partly due to the fact that voters here are mostly happy with Abdul Rahman's performances as their representative. The biggest gainer is BN in this case, while the biggest loser has to be PKR due to some loss of support from the Melanau voters.


N5 - Demak Laut
Hazland bin Abg Hipni (PBB-BN) = 5,522 votes (+428)
Ali Hossen bin Abang (PKR) = 1,770 votes (+281)

Majority = 3,752 votes [2006 = 3,605 votes]
No. of voters = 10,420
Voter turnout (without spoilt votes) = 69.98%

Melanau 88.7%; Chinese 7.9%; Iban 3.6%; Others 1.1%; Orang Ulu 1%

Both BN and PKR gained in votes, although it is BN who has managed to increase their majority slightly from 2006, largely again to Melanau votes, which has been their main vote bank in Sarawak.

Just to sum it up, the Melanau voters are mostly happy with PBB being in power. They don't see any change being beneficial to them, despite the many allegations against Taib Mahmud for corruption and cronyism. PR can just forget this parliamentary seat next GE, as the total majority is 12,039 (3,216 + 5,071 + 3,752) in the 3 state seats above.

Total:
BN votes = 17,165; PKR votes = 4,124; PAS votes = 1,002; Bebas votes = 326
BN 17,165 - 5,126 Non-BN; Bebas = 326

Prediction for GE: BN to retain Santubong hands down...