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Tuesday, 8 September 2009

Voting patterns (Part 3)

Today, I will focus on Selangor parliamentary seats. Same assumption from before. The list below shows the Selangor seats:

P92 - Sabak Bernam
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 5,348
2008 majority - 1,335
GE13 Prediction: PKR may pull off an upset

P93 - Sungai Besar
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 7,349
2008 majority - 5,009
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P94 - Hulu Selangor
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 14,483 (MIC)
2008 majority - 198 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P95 - Tanjung Karang
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 9,008
2008 majority - 3,820
GE13 Prediction: PAS may pull off an upset

P96 - Kuala Selangor
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 13,662 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 862 (PAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P97 - Selayang
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 23,226 (MCA)
2008 majority - 3,567 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat comfortably

P98 - Gombak
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 13,207 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 6,867 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat comfortably

P99 - Ampang
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 19,732 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 3,676 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat comfortably

P100 - Pandan
Incumbent: BN(MCA)
2004 majority - 14,112
2008 majority - 2,961
GE13 Prediction: PKR may pull off an upset

P101 - Hulu Langat
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 22,777 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 1,745 (PAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P102 - Serdang
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 11,280 (MCA)
2008 majority - 21,025 (DAP)
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P103 - Puchong
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 11,882 (GERAKAN)
2008 majority - 12,593 (DAP)
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P104 - Kelana Jaya
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 21,571 (MCA)
2008 majority - 5,031 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat comfortably

P105 - PJ Selatan
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 21,416 (MCA)
2008 majority - 5,706 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat comfortably

P106 - PJ Utara
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 13,043 (MCA)
2008 majority - 19,972 (DAP)
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P107 - Subang
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 15,460 (MIC)
2008 majority - 6,709 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat comfortably

P108 - Shah Alam
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 13,410 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 9,314 (PAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat comfortably

P109 - Kapar
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 14,588 (MIC)
2008 majority - 12,297 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat comfortably

P110 - Klang
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 13,281 (MCA)
2008 majority - 17,701 (DAP)
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P111 - Kota Raja
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 8,239 (MIC)
2008 majority - 20,751 (PAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat comfortably

P112 - Kuala Langat
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 21,495 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 989 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P113 - Sepang
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 18.837
2008 majority - 4,849
GE Prediction: PAS may pull off an upset

From the list above, there are 22 parliamentary seats in Selangor. PR currently holds 17 of them, while the other 5 seats are held by BN. Based on the tsunami factor, BN may only win 1 seat come the next GE, which is in Sungai Besar. It may become a fortress for PR in the richest state of the country.

Current score in Selangor: PR 17-5 BN
Prediction score in Selangor: PR 21-1 BN

Total prediction score: PR 35-27 BN

I will continue with voting patterns (Part 4) probably tomorrow.

PAS 4 ALL.

2 comments:

alenn said...

rawang under mane??

Ahmad Syafiq said...

Rawang is a DUN seat. Not a parliamentary seat in this case. So, in your area, your rep is from PKR, Gan Pei Nei.