Voting patterns (Part 6)

Now, I will visit Kelantan, where PAS has ruled since 1990. The parliamentary seats are as below:

P19 - Tumpat
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 1,820
2008 majority - 9,377
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat comfortably

P20 - Pengkalan Chepa
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 6,222
2008 majority - 11,311
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat comfortably

P21 - Kota Bharu
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 1,723 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 11,288 (PAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat comfortably

P22 - Pasir Mas
Incumbent: BEBAS (Datuk Ibrahim Ali - UMNO stooge)
2004 majority - 1,251 (PAS)
2008 majority - 8,991 (BEBAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P23 - Rantau Panjang
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 732
2008 majority - 4,486
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P24 - Kubang Kerian
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 5,627
2008 majority - 10,642
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat comfortably

P25 - Bachok
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 3,272 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 2,901 (PAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P26 - Ketereh
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 2,888 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 400 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P27 - Tanah Merah
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 2,527 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 1,584 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P28 - Pasir Puteh
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 3,810
2008 majority - 3,968
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P29 - Machang
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 135 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 1,460 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P30 - Jeli
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 7,353
2008 majority - 4,436
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P31 - Kuala Krai
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 2,416 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 4,984 (PAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P32 - Gua Musang
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 6,598
2008 majority - 4,394
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

From what I observe so far up to this point, Kelantan may retain status quo come the next GE. No seats gained, and no seats lost. 14 parliamentary seats, 12 controlled by PR and 2 by BN (I call the Minister of Trade Datuk Pa while my only favourite UMNO politician, Ku Li, holds the Gua Musang seat. Why do I call him Datuk Pa? Well, let's just say my mom is good friends with his wife. That's why.)

Current score in Kelantan: PR 12-2 BN
Prediction score in Kelantan: PR 12-2 BN

Total prediction score: PR 67-43 BN

I'll continue with Part 7 another time. In the meantime, let's sit back and enjoy the upcoming show in Bagan Pinang on the 11th of October.