Nuffnang Ads

Saturday 12 September 2009

Voting patterns (Part 5)

Now I will visit Pahang and Terengganu. The list of parliamentary seats are as below:

PAHANG

P78 - Cameron Highlands
Incumbent: BN(MIC)
2004 majority - 6,260
2008 majority - 3,117
GE13 Prediction: DAP may pull off an upset

P79 - Lipis
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 7,624
2008 majority - 4,137
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P80 - Raub
Incumbent: BN(MCA)
2004 majority - 9,752
2008 majority - 2,752
GE13 Prediction: DAP may pull off an upset

P81 - Jerantut
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 8,457
2008 majority - 1,946
GE13 Prediction: PAS may pull off an upset

P82 - Indera Mahkota
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 14,229 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 1,027 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P83 - Kuantan
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 9,147 (MCA)
2008 majority - 1,826 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P84 - Paya Besar
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 12,518
2008 majority - 8,503
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P85 - Pekan
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 22,922
2008 majority - 26,464
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P86 - Maran
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 7,242
2008 majority - 6,641
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P87 - Kuala Krau
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 7,351
2008 majority - 5,265
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P88 - Temerloh
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 12,607
2008 majority - 2,441
GE13 Prediction: PKR may pull off an upset

P89 - Bentong
Incumbent: BN(MCA)
2004 majority - 16,839
2008 majority - 12,549
GE13 Prediction: MCA to retain the seat comfortably

P90 - Bera
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 4,470
2008 majority - 3,821
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P91 - Rompin
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 9,350
2008 majority - 10,679
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

The list above shows the Pahang parliamentary seats. There are 14 of them in total, with 2 held by PKR, and the rest are controlled by BN. Some of the seats may change hands come the next GE, we may never know. Now, I will move on to Terengganu.

Current score in Pahang: BN 12-2 PR
Prediction score in Pahang: BN 8-6 PR

Total prediction score: PR 52-36 BN

TERENGGANU

P33 - Besut
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 8,500
2008 majority - 10,590
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P34 - Setiu
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 6,696
2008 majority - 7,232
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P35 - Kuala Nerus
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 4,097
2008 majority - 1,341
GE13 Prediction: PAS may pull off an upset

P36 - Kuala Terengganu
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 1,933 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 628 (UMNO)
2009 majority (by-election) - 2,631 (PAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P37 - Marang
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 163 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 2,747 (PAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P38 - Hulu Terengganu
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 7,760
2008 majority - 10,460
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P39 - Dungun
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 4,896
2008 majority - 4,994
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P40 - Kemaman
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 15,882
2008 majority - 12,683
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

The list above shows the Terengganu parliamentary seats. There are 8 of them. 2 are controlled by PAS, while the rest comes under UMNO. Terengganu is a fortress for UMNO, so they shouldn't have much difficulties in defending Terengganu come the next GE.

Current score in Terengganu: BN 6-2 PR
Prediction score in Terengganu: BN 5-3 PR

Total prediction score: PR 55-41 BN

PAS 4 ALL.

No comments: