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Thursday, 10 September 2009

Voting patterns (Part 4)

Ok...So, after visiting Johor, Malacca, Negeri Sembilan, and Selangor, I would now focus on Wilayah Persekutuan parliamentary seats. Before March 8, it was mostly BN stronghold. March 8, all that changed. Thanks to the Internet. Ok, enough of the crap, the list below are the results and predictions:

P114 - Kepong
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 1,854
2008 majority - 23,848
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P115 - Batu
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 11,517 (GERAKAN)
2008 majority - 9,455 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat comfortably

P116 - Wangsa Maju
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 10,185 (MCA)
2008 majority - 150 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat comfortably

P117 - Segambut
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 16,968 (GERAKAN)
2008 majority - 7,732 (DAP)
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P118 - Setiawangsa
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 19,669
2008 majority - 8,134
GE13 Prediction: PKR may pull off an upset

P119 - Titiwangsa
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 11,815 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 1,972 (PAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P120 - Bukit Bintang
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 304
2008 majority - 14,277
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P121 - Lembah Pantai
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 15,288 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 2,895 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P122 - Seputeh
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 12,895
2008 majority - 36,492
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P123 - Cheras
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 11,861
2008 majority - 28,300
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P124 - Bandar Tun Razak
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 17,527 (MCA)
2008 majority - 2,515 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P125 - Putrajaya
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 3,546
2008 majority - 2,734
GE13 Prediction: UMNO may retain the seat comfortably

From the list above, there are 12 parliamentary seats in Wilayah Persekutuan. PR currently holds 10 of them, while BN only has 2 of them. Based on the tsunami factor, it will be mostly status quo, except that Zulhasnan Rafique may lose his seat come the next GE, making it even more lopsided than it is, thanks to the relevation of the Internet. Another fortress for PR.

Current score in Wilayah Persekutuan: PR 10-2 BN
Prediction score in Wilayah Persekutuan: PR 11-1 BN

Total prediction score after 5 states analysed: PR 46-28 BN

I will continue with voting patterns (Part 5) next time.

PAS 4 ALL.

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