GE 13 prediction (Part 1) - updated with actual

I'm just gonna post my predictions, as I'm lazy to post justifications for each seat as to my predictions (due to time constraints). However, I will provide an overall view to why I predict as such (short and sweet it will be). Besides, they are called predictions, aren't they? It doesn't have to be correct because anything can happen on Election Day and the preceding campaign period leading up to the polls. And I will only be touching on parliamentary results, because that is where most of the power lies (in terms of making policies and even up to determining bus routes!)

Perlis:
P1 (Padang Besar) - UMNO to win by 4,000 votes
P2 (Kangar) - UMNO to win by 10,500 votes
P3 (Arau) - PAS to win by 1,000 votes (UMNO won)

BN 2-1 PR

Perlis is an UMNO fortress, but why Arau? Because the PAS candidate has been well-known there and has contested frequently in the past, and he's contesting again this GE. A parliament seat from Perlis at last for PR?

Actual results:
BN 3-0 PR

Kedah:
P4 (Langkawi) - UMNO to win by 6,000 votes
P5 (Jerlun) - UMNO to win by 3,000 votes
P6 (Kubang Pasu) - UMNO to win by 5,000 votes
P7 (Padang Terap) - UMNO to win by 1,000 votes
P8 (Pokok Sena) - PAS to win by 2,500 votes
P9 (Alor Setar) - PKR to win by 2,000 votes
P10 (Kuala Kedah) - UMNO to win by 3,000 votes (PKR won)
P11 (Pendang) - PAS to win by 3,000 votes (UMNO won)
P12 (Jerai) - PAS to win by 1,000 votes (UMNO won)
P13 (Sik) - UMNO to win by 500 votes
P14 (Merbok) - UMNO to win by 7,500 votes
P15 (Sungai Petani) - UMNO to win by 5,000 votes (PKR won)
P16 (Baling) - PAS to win by 4,000 votes (UMNO won)
P17 (Padang Serai) - PKR to win by 1,000 votes
P18 (Kulim Bandar Baharu) - UMNO to win by 2,000 votes

BN 9-6 PR

The writings are on the wall for Kedah. The state government, despite its record of being corruption-free during its tenure, was perceived as not doing enough for the people. Some voters would go for split-ticket voting (PR for parliament and BN for state), but to what extent? I assume it's gonna be limited, so expect BN to regain some of its parliament seats lost in 2008 and become the state government once more.

Actual results:
BN 10-5 PR

Kelantan:
P19 (Tumpat) - PAS to win by 5,000 votes
P20 (Pengkalan Chepa) - PAS to win by 8,000 votes
P21 (Kota Bharu) - PAS to win by 6,000 votes
P22 (Pasir Mas) - PAS to win by 4,500 votes
P23 (Rantau Panjang) - PAS to win by 3,000 votes
P24 (Kubang Kerian) - PAS to win by 2,500 votes
P25 (Bachok) - UMNO to win by 4,000 votes (PAS won)
P26 (Ketereh) - UMNO to win by 3,500 votes
P27 (Tanah Merah) - UMNO to win by 2,000 votes
P28 (Pasir Puteh) - PAS to win by 2,500 votes
P29 (Machang) - UMNO to win by 2,000 votes
P30 (Jeli) - UMNO to win by 5,000 votes
P31 (Kuala Krai) - PAS to win by 1,500 votes
P32 (Gua Musang) - UMNO to win by 5,000 votes

BN 6-8 PR

There is no doubt that UMNO has been putting a limitless effort to break PAS's stranglehold in Kelantan for the past 23 years. Their T (Tukar - Change) slogan up against the K (Kekal - Maintain) slogan by PAS. I expect that BN would be able to win back some of the parliament seats, as well as reducing the state government's majority, but PAS should still be able to retain Kelantan, albeit losing their 2/3 majority in the state assembly.

Actual results:
BN 5-9 PR

Terengganu:
P33 (Besut) - UMNO to win by 7,000 votes
P34 (Setiu) - UMNO to win by 5,500 votes
P35 (Kuala Nerus) - PAS to win by 500 votes
P36 (Kuala Terengganu) - PAS to win by 4,500 votes
P37 (Marang) - PAS to win by 1,500 votes
P38 (Hulu Terengganu) - UMNO to win by 10,000 votes
P39 (Dungun) - UMNO to win by 4,000 votes (PAS won)
P40 (Kemaman) - UMNO to win by 10,000 votes

BN 5-3 PR

We have seen extreme swings in Terengganu for the past few elections. 1999 was PAS's year, only for them to be trounced in 2004. In 2008, it was quite status quo whereby BN was able to maintain its stranglehold in Terengganu. It will take quite an effort for PAS to defeat UMNO, though one must consider the effect of Ustaz Azhar Idrus's popularity among the young voters nationwide as he comes from Terengganu. If PAS is able to galvanise this, they might just take Terengganu, but I heavily doubt it would be so. Though, I think PAS might be able to nick Kuala Nerus from UMNO.

Actual results:
BN 4-4 PR

Total score after 40 seats:
BN 22 - 18 PR (2013)
BN 16 - 24 PR (2008)

As you can see, I think BN would be able to claw back some of their lost ground in the 4 states that I mentioned above, as my predictions would mean a swing of 12 seats in favour of BN (6 seats gained by BN, 6 seats lost by PR). I will continue with Part 2 soon.

Actual score after 40 seats:
BN 22 - 18 PR

Apparently the number seats won by BN is right on the dot with my predictions, although I did get a few seats wrong, which I have bracketed the actual result for the seats that I predicted wrongly.