GE 13 prediction (Part 3) - updated with actual

Pahang:
P78 (Cameron Highlands) - MIC to win by 2,500 votes
P79 (Lipis) - UMNO to win by 3,000 votes
P80 (Raub) - DAP to win by 500 votes
P81 (Jerantut) - PAS to win by 1,000 votes (UMNO won)
P82 (Indera Mahkota) - UMNO to win by 6,500 votes (PKR won)
P83 (Kuantan) - PKR to win by 1,500 votes
P84 (Paya Besar) - UMNO to win by 7,500 votes
P85 (Pekan) - UMNO to win by 20,000 votes
P86 (Maran) - UMNO to win by 5,500 votes
P87 (Kuala Krau) - UMNO to win by 4,000 votes
P88 (Temerloh) - UMNO to win by 5,500 votes (PAS won)
P89 (Bentong) - MCA to win by 8,000 votes
P90 (Bera) - UMNO to win by 2,500 votes
P91 (Rompin) - UMNO to win by 10,000 votes

BN 11-3 PR

Adnan's wish for zero opposition seems far-fetched. And his ears would remain intact as Bentong would be retained by MCA. =3 However, expect PR to continue eating into BN's majority in Pahang. PR would gain 2 seats via Raub and Jerantut, but would lose Indera Mahkota. BN's fortress remains unaffected as this is also Najib's state. Pekan is there for us to see, full of army votes.

Actual score:
BN 10-4 PR

Selangor:
P92 (Sabak Bernam) - PKR to win by 500 votes (UMNO won)
P93 (Sungai Besar) - UMNO to win by 6,500 votes
P94 (Hulu Selangor) - MIC to win by 4,000 votes
P95 (Tanjong Karang) - UMNO to win by 1,000 votes
P96 (Kuala Selangor) - PAS to win by 1,000 votes (UMNO won)
P97 (Selayang) - MCA to win by 5,000 votes (PKR won)
P98 (Gombak) - UMNO to win by 2,000 votes (PKR won)
P99 (Ampang) - UMNO to win by 3,000 votes (PKR won)
P100 (Pandan) - PKR to win by 500 votes
P101 (Hulu Langat) - UMNO to win by 8,000 votes (PAS won)
P102 (Serdang) - DAP to win by 10,000 votes
P103 (Puchong) - DAP to win by 7,000 votes
P104 (Kelana Jaya) - MCA to win by 6,500 votes (PKR won)
P105 (PJ Selatan) - MCA to win by 1,500 votes (PKR won)
P106 (PJ Utara) - DAP to win by 15,000 votes
P107 (Subang) - PKR to win by 2,500 votes
P108 (Shah Alam) - PAS to win by 2,000 votes
P109 (Kapar) - PKR to win by 1,000 votes
P110 (Klang) - DAP to win by 6,000 votes
P111 (Kota Raja) - PAS to win by 11,000 votes
P112 (Kuala Langat) - UMNO to win by 9,000 votes (PKR won)
P113 (Sepang) - PAS to win by 500 votes

BN 10-12 PR

In an interesting battle for Malaysia's most developed state, the state government has done well overall and Khalid Ibrahim is no man's puppet. He just goes about in his job and has little time for politics. It would be a big loss to Selangor if he's not retained as MB (particularly if PR loses the state assembly). However, I do expect BN to regain lost ground in this GE. From just 5 seats, they would double their tally.

Actual score:
BN 5-17 PR

WP Kuala Lumpur:
P114 (Kepong) - DAP to win by 20,000 votes
P115 (Batu) - GERAKAN to win by 1,500 votes (PKR won)
P116 (Wangsa Maju) - MCA to win by 3,000 votes (PKR won)
P117 (Segambut) - DAP to win by 3,500 votes
P118 (Setiawangsa) - UMNO to win by 10,000 votes
P119 (Titiwangsa) - PAS to win by 1,000 votes (UMNO won)
P120 (Bukit Bintang) - DAP to win by 12,000 votes
P121 (Lembah Pantai) - UMNO to win by 5,000 votes (PKR won)
P122 (Seputeh) - DAP to win by 30,000 votes
P123 (Cheras) - DAP to win by 25,000 votes
P124 (Bandar Tun Razak) - PKR to win by 1,000 votes
P125 (Putrajaya) - UMNO to win by 2,000 votes

BN 5-7 PR

Basically, KL is still quite anti-BN since the tsunami. The freeflow of information on the Internet has made the voters' decisions easier. However, we should not underestimate the effort that BN has put in to win back those lost seats. Despite that, I still feel PR would still have the edge over BN in KL. Not to mention I'll be voting in Segambut, so I can roughly feel the overall sentiments in my area.

Actual score:
BN 3-9 PR

Total score for 3 states above:
BN 26 - 22 PR (2013)
BN 19 - 29 PR (2008)

Total score after 125 seats:
BN 65 - 60 PR (2013)
BN 50 - 75 PR (2008)

In 2008, PR won 75 seats out of the 1st 125 seats on offer, and that was sufficient to deny BN 2/3 majority in Parliament. This time around, they are 15 seats away to deny BN 2/3 majority once more. They will need more of those seats from the southern states of Negeri Sembilan, Malacca and Johore. I will cover the remaining 3 Peninsula states in Part 4.

Actual score for 3 states above:
BN 18 - 30 PR

Total score after 125 seats:
BN 55 - 70 PR