GE 13 prediction (Part 5) - updated with actual

For the East Malaysia edition, I would only state the coalition names (i.e. BN & PR) because of the many local parties established in Sabah and Sarawak and I don't remember most of them.

Sabah:
P166 (Labuan) - BN to win by 10,000 votes
P167 (Kudat) - BN to win by 8,000 votes
P168 (Kota Marudu) - BN to win by 5,000 votes
P169 (Kota Belud) - PR to win by 500 votes (BN won)
P170 (Tuaran) - BN to win by 3,000 votes
P171 (Sepanggar) - BN to win by 1,500 votes
P172 (Kota Kinabalu) - PR to win by 7,500 votes
P173 (Putatan) - BN to win by 5,500 votes
P174 (Penampang) - PR to win by 1,000 votes
P175 (Papar) - BN to win by 6,500 votes
P176 (Kimanis) - BN to win by 6,000 votes
P177 (Beaufort) - BN to win by 4,500 votes
P178 (Sipitang) - BN to win by 7,000 votes
P179 (Ranau) - BN to win by 9,000 votes
P180 (Keningau) - BN to win by 2,000 votes
P181 (Tenom) - BN to win by 8,000 votes
P182 (Pensiangan) - PR to win by 500 votes (BN won)
P183 (Beluran) - BN to win by 6,000 votes
P184 (Libaran) - BN to win by 6,500 votes
P185 (Batu Sapi) - BN to win by 4,000 votes
P186 (Sandakan) - PR to win by 3,000 votes
P187 (Kinabatangan) - BN to win by 5,000 votes
P188 (Silam) - BN to win by 9,000 votes
P189 (Semporna) - BN to win by 18,000 votes
P190 (Tawau) - PR to win by 1,000 votes (BN won)
P191 (Kalabakan) - BN to win by 15,000 votes (if there is a candidate =3)

BN 20-6 PR

Sabah contributes 26 seats in the race to form the next federal government (11.7% of total parliament seats). The Land Below The Wind has been under opposition rule before in the 1980s until the early 1990s (Project IC in Sabah was the cause of downfall, and I have no idea how many of these Project IC people populate Sabah, but I am sure as hell there's a lot of them currently). So you can imagine how you feel as a Sabahan when your state is flooded with immigrants given ICs to vote for BN. You feel powerless to do anything. However, I do see some hope for PR as they are certain to do better than in 2008, although it will never be able to dislodge Musa Aman from his current position of power. PR only won 1 parliament seat, which is obviously Sabah's capital city of Kota Kinabalu. Expect them to retain KK and cause a surprise in some other seats.

Actual score:
BN 23-3 PR

Sarawak:
P192 (Mas Gading) - BN to win by 3,000 votes
P193 (Santubong) - BN to win by 12,000 votes
P194 (Petra Jaya) - BN to win by 14,000 votes
P195 (Bandar Kuching) - PR to win by 15,000 votes
P196 (Stampin) - PR to win by 12,000 votes
P197 (Kota Samarahan) - BN to win by 13,500 votes
P198 (Mambong) - BN to win by 7,000 votes
P199 (Serian) - BN to win by 9,000 votes
P200 (Batang Sadong) - BN to win by 6,500 votes
P201 (Batang Lupar) - BN to win by 5,500 votes
P202 (Sri Aman) - BN to win by 8,000 votes
P203 (Lubok Antu) - BN to win by 7,000 votes
P204 (Betong) - BN to win by 8,000 votes
P205 (Saratok) - BN to win by 4,000 votes
P206 (Kuala Rajang) - BN to win by 8,000 votes
P207 (Igan) - BN to win by 5,500 votes
P208 (Sarikei) - PR to win by 4,500 votes
P209 (Julau) - BN to win by 4,000 votes
P210 (Kanowit) - BN to win by 2,500 votes
P211 (Lanang) - PR to win by 8,000 votes
P212 (Sibu) - PR to win by 500 votes
P213 (Mukah) - BN to win by 10,000 votes
P214 (Selangau) - BN to win by 2,000 votes
P215 (Kapit) - BN to win by 500 votes
P216 (Hulu Rajang) - BN to win by 7,000 votes
P217 (Bintulu) - PR to win by 1,500 votes (BN won)
P218 (Sibuti) - BN to win by 5,000 votes
P219 (Miri) - PR to win by 5,000 votes
P220 (Baram) - BN to win by 4,000 votes
P221 (Limbang) - BN to win by 3,500 votes
P222 (Lawas) - BN to win by 2,500 votes

BN 24-7 PR

Sarawak has 31 seats on offer, which makes up a whopping 14% of total parliamentary seats. Hence, the importance of Sabah and Sarawak can never be downplayed in forming the next federal government. Without Sabah and Sarawak, BN would only have a majority of 5 seats back in 2008 and live in fear about losing power. As we all know, the 2011 state elections was held for Sarawak, whereby out of the 71 state seats, PR only managed to win 15. So much for their dreams of denying BN their 2/3 majority in the state assembly, for which they needed at least 24 seats. However, it would shape how many parliamentary seats are expected to fall to PR in GE 13. Assuming they have done further groundwork since 2011, they will make gains as compared to the 1 seat won by them in 2008 (Bandar Kuching). Particularly in Chinese-majority seats (i.e. Bandar Kuching, Stampin, Sarikei, Lanang and Miri), these would be DAP's forte. They would swing with their brothers and sisters in Peninsula Malaysia and vote for the opposition like they did in 2011. However, it will be insufficient to affect Taib's position in Sarawak as being the man that holds the glue for Sarawak BN. Without him, BN would have lost more seats during the state elections. Since when Taib was a liability for BN? You opposition fellas better focus on something else rather than trying to bring down the White Rajah. Anyhow, at the end of the day, there are surely gains to be made by PR in Sarawak, though they would fail in forming the next federal government. They would have to be satisfied with denying BN their 2/3 majority again, which may see Najib pave the way for Muhyiddin to become the 7th PM.

Actual score:
BN 25 - 6 PR

Total score for East Malaysia:
BN 44 - 13 PR (2013)
BN 55 - 2 PR (2008)

Overall score for all 222 seats:
BN 140 - 82 PR (2013)
BN 140 - 82 PR (2012)

Well well well, at the end of the day, I predict that PR would continue to deny BN their 2/3 majority in Parliament with exactly the same number of seats. The only thing that changes around here is where the seats would come from. No doubt PR would rely on more seats from East Malaysia in their efforts to dislodge BN after 56 years of ruling the nation. They can only make it happen in GE 14. This GE would be about consolidating their position as a capable alternative to BN (sounds defensive as it may sound, but it may be a reality).

Anyhow, Parliament is already dissolved, when is the election date eh EC?

Actual score for East Malaysia:
BN 48 - 9 PR

Overall score for all 222 seats:
BN 133 - 89