Voting patterns (Part 9)

100-47 as the score stands in PR's favour. Just 12 seats away from a simple majority in Parliament, without help from Sabah and Sarawak. 2 more states to go, Kedah and Perlis. So, it's time to finish it off right here.

KEDAH

P4 - Langkawi
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 10,772
2008 majority - 4,970
GE13 prediction: PKR may pull off an upset

P5 - Jerlun
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 2,142
2008 majority - 2,205
GE13 prediction: UMNO to retain the seat

P6 - Kubang Pasu
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 13,712
2008 majority - 7,060
GE13 prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P7 - Padang Terap
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 2,172(UMNO)
2008 majority - 369(PAS)
GE13 prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P8 - Pokok Sena
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 7,300(UMNO)
2008 majority - 5,731(PAS)
GE13 prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P9 - Alor Setar
Incumbent: BN(MCA)
2004 majority - 14,515
2008 majority - 184
GE13 prediction: PKR may pull off an upset

P10 - Kuala Kedah
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 10,214(UMNO)
2008 majority - 7,018(PKR)
GE13 prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P11 - Pendang
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 50
2008 majority - 4,073
GE13 prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P12 - Jerai
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 10,405(UMNO)
2008 majority - 2,299(PAS)
GE13 prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P13 - Sik
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 319(UMNO)
2008 majority - 481(PAS)
GE13 prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P14 - Merbok
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 15,445(UMNO)
2008 majority - 3,098(PKR)
GE13 prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P15 - Sungai Petani
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 17,502(UMNO)
2008 majority - 9,381(PKR)
GE13 prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P16 - Baling
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 4,229(UMNO)
2008 majority - 7,613(PAS)
GE13 prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P17 - Padang Serai
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 10,316(MCA)
2008 majority - 11,738(PKR)
GE13 prediction: PKR may retain the seat comfortably

P18 - Kulim Bandar Baharu
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 7,998(UMNO)
2008 majority - 5,583(PKR)
GE13 prediction: PKR may retain the seat

15 parliamentary seats up for grabs in Kedah. 4 of the seats are held by BN, while the rest falls to PR. Langkawi and Alor Setar may fall to PR come the next GE, thus enabling PR to form the government without help from East Malaysia. Now, I'll move on to my final destination, Perlis. Known as an UMNO fortress since I don't know when.

Current score in Kedah: PR 11-4 BN
Prediction score in Kedah: PR 13-2 BN

Total prediction score: PR 113-49 BN

PERLIS

P1 - Padang Besar
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 9,265
2008 majority - 5,348
GE13 prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P2 - Kangar
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 12,548
2008 majority - 13,671
GE13 prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P3 - Arau
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 3,243
2008 majority - 300
GE13 prediction: PAS may pull off an upset

There's only 3 parliamentary seats in Perlis as it's one of the smallest state in Malaysia. Currently, BN holds all 3 of the seats. This state involves a classic battle between UMNO and PAS, no other component parties from both sides had ever set foot in Perlis. Come GE13, Arau is a vulnerable seat which can fall to PAS, making it no more a BN fortress.

Current score in Perlis: BN 3-0 PR
Prediction score in Perlis: BN 2-1 PR

Total prediction score: PR 114-50 BN

So there it is. A comprehensive victory for PR based on my tsunami factor, without help from East Malaysia. However, mind you, these are all just predictions. Many current issues such as PKFZ, Altantuya, unity government, GST, etc... will influence the minds of the electorate. GE13 is going to be one hell of an election. However, one must take note that Najib plans to hold the next elections probably in 2011, as the economy may have recovered by then, boosting the feel good factor once again for voters towards BN. So, we'll see.

Voting patterns (Part 8)

After 3 months of stopping the analysis as the undi.info could not be accessed, the website has appeared once more. Thank God. Now I can finish off my elections analysis soon enough.

Now, where did I stop? Oh yes, I stopped in Perak, where by prediction, PR is thrashing BN with a score of 88-46. So, I still have 3 more states to venture in order to complete my predictions in Peninsula Malaysia.

Alrite then, after Perak, I will now venture into Penang. 13 parliamentary seats is at stake in this state.

P41 - Kepala Batas
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 18,122
2008 majority - 11,246
GE13 prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P42 - Tasek Gelugor
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 10,183
2008 majority - 4,547
GE13 prediction: PAS may pull off an upset

P43 - Bagan
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 3,622
2008 majority - 22,070
GE13 prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P44 - Permatang Pauh
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 590
2008 majority - 13,398
2008 majority (by-election) - 15,671
GE13 prediction: PKR may retain the seat comfortably

P45 - Bukit Mertajam
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 8,564
2008 majority - 5,832
GE13 prediction: DAP may retain the seat

P46 - Batu Kawan
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 8,998(GERAKAN)
2008 majority - 9,485(DAP)
GE13 prediction: DAP may retain the seat

P47 - Nibong Tebal
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 6,005(UMNO)
2008 majority - 3,087(PKR)
GE13 prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P48 - Bukit Bendera
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 10,717(GERAKAN)
2008 majority - 16,112(DAP)
GE13 prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P49 - Tanjong
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 4,228
2008 majority - 18,489
GE13 prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P50 - Jelutong
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 7,470(GERAKAN)
2008 majority - 16,246(DAP)
GE13 prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P51 - Bukit Gelugor
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 1,261
2008 majority - 21,015
GE13 prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P52 - Bayan Baru
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 18,851(MCA)
2008 majority - 11,029(PKR)
GE13 prediction: PKR may retain the seat comfortably

P53 - Balik Pulau
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 12,937(UMNO)
2008 majority - 708(PKR)
GE13 prediction: PKR may retain the seat

As it is, there are 13 parliamentary seats in Penang. Only 2 are held by BN, while the rest are gobbled up by PR. Almost status quo, come GE13, however, the Bukit Gelugor seat may fall, leaving BN with a solitary seat. However, Balik Pulau is also a razor thin seat, so I think it won't last for long. We'll see.

Current score in Penang: PR 11-2 BN
Prediction score in Penang: PR 12-1 BN

Total prediction score: PR 100 - 47 BN

BN almost embarassed

As the opposition called for a bloc voting in Parliament, that is where they almost caught BN with their pants down during the Budget 2010 debate.

Final score: BN 64-63 PR

Well, that says it all. 74 BN MPs didn't vote on the budget (whether they don't like the budget, lazy to vote, or if they're dissatisfied with the budget, they are afraid to vote for the opposition) while 18 Pakatan MPs didn't vote.

Can you imagine the implications of a Budget Bill being rejected???

When a budget bill is rejected, it is certainly equals motion of no confidence. When there is no confidence in the budget, that means they have no confidence in the PM Najib. Once that happened, the Agong may have to appoint a new PM from the opposition (my choice would have been Nizar).

Lucky for BN, Nazri saved their asses with distress calls to Najib and co. Those last minute votes certainly saved them from defeat. However, that is something not to be proud of for the BN coalition. This certainly shows that complacency roots deeply in them.

Let this be a lesson to the missing MPs to not be absent when there is a very important vote such as the Budget Bill. Nice try Pakatan, but next time, please have all your MPs available so that we can catch BN with their pants down again for next year's Budget Bill.

So, a reminder to some of the Pakatan MPs such as Azmin Ali, Lim Guan Eng, Teresa Kok, Mahfuz Omar, Mujahid Yusof Rawa, Khalid Ibrahim, and the 12 others. Please be present next time, or the people would think you are simply absent from Parliament. Same goes to the 74 BN MPs who didn't turn up for voting when it mattered most. Never think that you are safe with the majority at hand.

And to Speaker Pandikar Amin, don't blame Pakatan for trying to catch BN with its pants down. I know you are a BN fella elected by your party in Parliament to be the main speaker. So, please bash your own BN members for not turning up for such an important vote. Besides, isn't this a parliamentary democracy?

My review of Semester 2 (Year 1)

Again, I took 5 subjects for this semester.

1. Malaysian Studies (compulsory subject)
2. Introduction to Financial Accounting
3. Introductory Macroeconomics
4. Marketing Theory & Practice
5. Business Law


1. Malaysian Studies

I can say it's a boring subject. More like a repeat of History in secondary school if you ask me, except that everything is in English. That's the only difference I guess. I can't even remember my lecturer's name for this subject.

At first, I would sit in the class for 2 hours each time. Then, the trick is to come for like 10-15 minutes or so and sign your attendance. After that, I went back to the library to study something else. And guess what? I got a 100% attendance certificate! Sounds fake, right? ;P I don't even come for the whole 2 hours.

Come exam time, it wasn't bad at all. I just hope to get at least a Distinction for this subject, even though we are only required to pass it.

-Internal assessment: 36/50
-Exam: 37/50 (based on how I felt I did)
-Total: 73/100 (Distinction)


2. Introduction to Financial Accounting

Well, compared to the Principles of Accounting & Finance last time, I'd be happy to settle for this one. There's more theory this time around, so I have to remember them like hell. However, there are some recalls from what I learned last semester, but this time, it is deeper than it was before. It's more focused on Financial Accounting specifically.

My lecturer is Dr. Mohana and my tutor was Dr. Eu-Gene. They're really cool people, especially Dr Eu-Gene. He's so active in class and it's hard to fall asleep during tutorials. However, it is easier to fall asleep during lecture time because it started at 8.00am, which is too early for most of us. Oh well, but they still rock my world! ;P

Come exam time, the questions were relatively doable. There's this 1 question where I really screwed up, so yeah, some marks lost there. Oh well, at least I'm mostly confident with how I answered. I'm going for a HD on this one.

-Internal assessment: 25/30
-Exam: 56/70 (based on how I felt I did)
-Total: 81/100 (High Distinction)


3. Introductory Macroeconomics

Aaa... finally. Back into the realms of familiarity breeds contempt. I learned Macroecons before back in pre-U, so yeah, it's just a matter of recalling what I learned. But it's never easy, I can tell myself that. To squeeze within 3 months is a mammoth task. Somehow, I slacked real badly in the run-up to exams.

My lecturer is Dr. Grace while my tutor is Mr. Wilson Ow (a few would pronounce it Ow Ow, which is by confusion somehow). Dr Grace is quite strict when it comes to noises during lectures. However, she's a good lecturer and I can understand what she says most of the time.

In my tutorial class, there were only about 6 students in my class, which is quite unusual. The less, the better. The key is to do your tutorial work everytime before you come to tutorials so that you won't get lost. I slacked in the last few weeks and skipped tutorial works. Darn it, how lazy can I get?

Come exam time, the questions were quite tricky. I hope I can do it well in the end. I reap what I sow. I'm really hoping for a HD, but I feel pessimistic for now.

-Internal assessment: 26/30
-Exam: 50/70 (based on how I felt I did)
-Total: 76/100 (Distinction)


4. Marketing Theory & Practice

Marketing is something totally new for me. It's a subject revolving around our daily lives such as ads, prices, promotions, etc... Practically, it's easy to understand, but theoretically, it's a bit hard.

My lecturer is Ms. Crystal Yap while my tutor is Ms. Norbaizura. Ms. Crystal would always wake us up with her funny videos she showed during our lecture. I would normally seat near the front of the lecture hall. She recognised me when I first came for her tutorial class, which was a chaotic situation in timetables for tutors. We played a game during tutorial and I somehow won. ;P So yeah, Puteri Nur Sarah, you are so going to sing in front of everyone (if only I had recognised your signature). Just kidding.

Ms. Norbaizura on the other hand, has an unbelievable knowledge of real life marketing. This can be seen during presentations done by the students in my class, myself included. She would bombard us with questions that seemed impossible to answer. LOL! If only you look at their faces... But yeah, she's cool.

Marketing was never my favourite subject, so I study for the sake of it. Come exams, it worked like clockwork until... I forgot to include STP (Segmentation, Targeting, Positioning). Darn it, I lost 6% because of that. Oh well, I can still aim for a HD in this case. Anything is possible.

-Internal assessment: 40/50
-Exam: 40/50 (based on how I felt I did)
-Total: 80/100 (High Distinction)


5. Business Law

I can't believe how much I hate Biz Law. It was so practically easy, and they the theory is so hard... I pretty much screwed up during exam time, so in the very least I can hope to only pass it.

My lecturer is Dr. Vanitha while my tutor is Ms. Sunitha. Dr Vanitha is distinctive for her examples using the Disney characters (Mickey Mouse, Donald Duck, Goofy, etc...). My tutor on the other hand, is very strict about her students coming prepared for class. She'll explode if some of them didn't do their tutorials and just hope for answers. That's where she hit them hard.

-Internal assessment: 20/30
-Exam: 40/70 (based on how I felt I did)
-Total: 60/100 (Credit)


Well, that's the end of my Semester 2 review. Basically, I had plenty of ups and downs during my 1st year in uni. Time flies so fast that pre-U only seemed to finish just yesterday. I started to miss uni life during this long summer break. I lost my discipline (ex. mandi lambat, main game, etc...) completely. I HATE HOLIDAYS!

On the political side, I really hope there will be a by-election in Kota Siputeh, Kedah. The people loves it when there's a 'buy-election'. This is because the BN government would give back what it stole from them. MONEY. It's basically an UMNO seat, but not by much. But I'm still cautious about this place. It's hard to predict who will win and by how much. The most important thing is that, people would get their money back. It's an economic stimulus, increasing consumption and thus, increase GDP. Time and time again, 'buy-elections' are good for the economy.

Azab koma di Tanah Suci (Part 1)

Januari 1998
Haji Mazlan Nasron


Selama hampir 9 tahun menetap di Mekah dan membantu ayah saya menguruskan jemaah haji dan umrah, saya telah melalui pelbagai pengalaman menarik dan pelik. Bagaimanapun, dalam banyak-banyak peristiwa itu, ada 1 kejadian yang pasti tidak akan saya lupakan sampai bila-bila. Ia berlaku kepada seorang wanita yang berusia pertengahan 30-an.

Kejadian itu berlaku pada pertengahan 1980-an semasa saya menguruskan satu rombongan haji. Ketika itu umur saya 20 tahun dan masih menuntut di Universiti Al-Azhar, Kaherah. Kebetulan ketika itu saya balik ke Mekah sekejap untuk menghabiskan cuti semester. Saya menetap di Mekah mulai 1981 selepas menamatkan pengajian di Sekolah Agama Gunung Semonggol, Perak. Keluarga saya semuanya di Mekah, cuma saya seorang saja tinggal dengan nenek saya di Perak.

Walaupun masih muda, saya ditugaskan oleh bapa saya, Haji Nasron untuk menguruskan jemaah haji dan umrah memandangkan saya adalah anak sulung dalam keluarga.

Berbalik kepada cerita tadi, ketibaan wanita tersebut dan rombongan haji itu di Lapangan Terbang Jeddah kami sambut dengan sebuah bas. Semuanya nampak riang sebab itulah kali pertama mereka mengerjakan haji. Sebaik sampai, saya membawa mereka menaiki bas dan dari situ, kami menuju ke Madinah. Alhamdulillah, segalanya berjalan lancar hinggalah kami sampai di Madinah.

Tiba di Madinah, semua orang turun dari bas berkenaan. Turunlah seorang demi seorang sehingga tiba kepada giliran wanita terbabit. Tapi tanpa apa-apa sebab, sebaik saja kakinya mencecah bumi Madinah, wanita itu tumbang tidak sedarkan diri.

Source: Buku Mastika

Exams are over

12/11/2009

This is a date I would remember that I have finally finished Semester 2 of my 1st year. It is time to reflect on how I did during exams.

Malaysian Studies:
-Well, I can say that the questions are OK
-Internal assessment: 36/50
-Exam: 37/50 (based on how I felt I did)
-Total: 73/100 (Distinction)

Marketing Theory & Practice:
-The questions were really spot on with what I studied based on the review slides given by Ms. Crystal
-My only regret is not answering STP in Section A
-Internal assessment: 40/50
-Exam: 40/50 (based on how I felt I did)
-Total: 80/100 (High Distinction)

Introductory Macroeconomics:
-Well, I slacked badly in the run up to this exam, which is not a good sign as I had became complacent at that point
-Questions are doable, but whether the answers are correct remain to be seen
-Internal assessment: 26/30
-Exam: 50/70 (based on how I felt I did)
-Total: 76/100 (Distinction)

Business Law:
-I can explain so many things by practical, and yet, when it comes to the theory, I simply went blank
-I didn't know what to do
-I hate open book tests, it really messed up my mind
-Internal assessment: 20/30
-Exam: 40/70 (based on how I felt I did)
-Total: 60/100 (Credit)

Introduction to Financial Accounting:
-As Ms. Mohana said, 70% of the questions would come out based on practice exam questions
-Well, most of the questions are seriously doable, but I think I screwed up one of the questions, which is theoretical
-I haven't thanked Mr. Eu-Gene for teaching me Accounts
-Internal assessment: 25/30
-Exam: 55/70 (based on how I felt I did)
-Total: 80/100 (High Distinction)


Now I can calculate my predicted GPA and WMA:
GPA = (4 + 3 + 2 + 4)/4 = 3.25
WMA = (80 + 76 + 60 + 80)/4 = 74

Compared to my last semester, my GPA is predicted to be better, but my WMA would be worse because of my Business Law potentially pulling down my average marks significantly.

Oh well, as goes the saying, "I reap what I sow".

The only effort I can do now is to pray to God and hope that I can get real good results for my exams. Insya-Allah.

Macroecons

Today, I had my Macroeconomics paper, which is already the 3rd paper of my exam so far. I must say the questions are real tricky. I can't even determine my exact answer for each question. It seems I've been outgunned by my best hope for a HD.

Internal: 26/30
Exam (based on what I did): 45/70
Total: 71/100 (Distinction)

Based on how I felt I did during the exams so far, that leads to 3 Distinctions out of 3 subjects finished. Another 2 coming up, Business Law and Financial Accounting. So the marks below are how I felt I did so far:

Malaysian Studies - 73%
Marketing - 78%
Macroeconomics - 71%

Although there is a possibility that I may have done better than expected, I prefer to feel pessismistic for now. Only Allah knows the real results. So, I have to pray hard for success after a lot of effort being concentrated for the exams. As the saying goes: "You reap what you sow."

Yup, sounds like a fair proverb. Even if the results does not reflect the hard work you put in, just remember, life is always a challenge.

Exam progress

I've done 2 papers so far, which are Malaysian Studies and Marketing. I hope I can get at least a distinction for Malaysian Studies and a high distinction (HD) for marketing. Although I answered Section B and C quite well, I cannot be certain about their perfect-ness. It is unlikely that I can get a full 10% and 20% from Section B and C respectively, although I can hope for at least 8% and 19% respectively, which totals up to 27%. My internals were 40% out of 50%, so that makes my total 67%. Thus, I need another 13% from Section A, which carries 20%. However, I forgot to answer STP, which cost me 6% overall, thus leaving only 14% up for grabs, in which I doubt I can get mostly perfect, although I can hope for 13%, but nothing is certain for sure. All I can do now is pray to God that I can get HD for marketing, or it may well be another near miss like last semester.

My prediction (based on what I've done):
Malaysian Studies = 36/50 (IA) + 37/50 (exam) = 73/100 (Distinction)
Marketing = 40/50 (IA) + 38/50 (exam) = 78/100 (Distinction)

Now, I have another 3 papers to go. Macroeconomics, Business Law, and Financial Accounting. From the 3, I think Macroeconomics is my best hope for a HD, but I haven't really put an effort into studying for Macroeconomics exam tomorrow. Oh well, the most important thing for me is that I don't panic.

Exams has begun

At 9.04am, I had started my Malaysian Studies exam and was done at 10.50am

20 MCQs and 4 essay questions (answer 2)

How confident was I with my answers?
MCQ - 13%/20%
Essay (Q1 - Origins of Chinese and Indians) - 11%/15%
Essay (Q2 - Parliamentary democracy) - 13%/15%

Total exam % = 37%/50%
Total internal assessment % = 36%/50%

Total % = 73% (Distinction)

Oh well, at least based on what I did, I am currently surpassing my target of just 65% for Malaysian Studies. But I tell you, nothing is easy in Malaysian Studies. I'm just glad I'm over with it.

Now, my next target for tomorrow: Marketing exam

Exam mode

I couldn't update my voting pattern analysis because the http://undi.info/ website was somehow deleted by an unknown source. Malaysiakini had took over from the government in 2008 for running this website. I think that hackers closed this website down in a move to ensure orang Malaysia lupa.

Oh well, my exams will start on the 29/10/2009 (Thursday) and ends on 12/11/2009 (Thursday). Marketing (29th), Macroecons (2nd), Biz Law (5th), and Accounting (12th).

My targets:
Marketing - 80 (HD)
Macroecons - 90 (HD)
Biz Law - 80 (HD)
Accounting - 80 (HD)
Malaysian Studies - 65 (C)

I hope I'm gonna work towards achieving my short-term goals between now and the exams.

Voting patterns (Part 7)

Well, 110 parliamentary seats have been predicted up till now. From Johor to Melaka to Negeri Sembilan to Selangor to Pahang to Terengganu and to Kelantan. Now, from Kelantan, I'll be moving to Perak now. Before I start listing down the Perak parliamentary seats, let's recall that PR is leading by 24 seats over BN. Thus, the score so far is 67-43 in their favour.

P54 - Grik
Incumbent: BN(GERAKAN)
2004 majority - 8,397 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 5,573 (GERAKAN)
GE13 Prediction: GERAKAN to retain the seat comfortably

P55 - Lenggong
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 5,632
2008 majority - 4,919
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P56 - Larut
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 7,608
2008 majority - 1,911
GE13 Prediction: PAS may pull off an upset

P57 - Parit Buntar
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 4,689 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 7,551 (PAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat comfortably

P58 - Bagan Serai
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 5,618 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 3,413 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P59 - Bukit Gantang
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 8,888 (GERAKAN)
2008 majority - 1,566 (PAS)
2009 majority (by-election) - 2,789 (PAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P60 - Taiping
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 2,172 (PPP)
2008 majority - 11,298 (DAP)
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P61 - Padang Rengas
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 4,772
2008 majority - 1,749
GE13 Prediction: PKR may pull off an upset

P62 - Sungai Siput
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 10,235 (MIC)
2008 majority - 1,821 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P63 - Tambun
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 17,360
2008 majority - 5,386
GE13 Prediction: PKR may pull off an upset

P64 - Ipoh Timor
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 9,774
2008 majority - 21,942
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P65 - Ipoh Barat
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 598
2008 majority - 15,534
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P66 - Batu Gajah
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 7,927
2008 majority - 24,627
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P67 - Kuala Kangsar
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 5,557
2008 majority - 1,458
GE13 Prediction: PAS may pull off an upset

P68 - Beruas
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 4,564 (GERAKAN)
2008 majority - 1,828 (DAP)
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat

P69 - Parit
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 4,696
2008 majority - 2,873
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P70 - Kampar
Incumbent: BN(MCA)
2004 majority - 9,474
2008 majority - 2,697
GE13 Prediction: DAP may pull off an upset

P71 - Gopeng
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 14,260 (MCA)
2008 majority - 7,368 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat comfortably

P72 - Tapah
Incumbent: BN(MIC)
2004 majority - 9.586
2008 majority - 3,020
GE13 Prediction: PKR may pull off an upset

P73 - Pasir Salak
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 8,547
2008 majority - 2,688
GE13 Prediction: PKR may pull off an upset

P74 - Lumut
Incumbent: BN(MCA)
2004 majority - 11,614
2008 majority - 298
GE13 Prediction: PKR may pull off an upset

P75 - Bagan Datok
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 12,539
2008 majority - 2,692
GE13 Prediction: PKR may pull off an upset

P76 - Teluk Intan
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 9,836 (GERAKAN)
2008 majority - 1,470 (DAP)
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat

P77 - Tanjung Malim
Incumbent: BN(MCA)
2004 majority - 14,536
2008 majority - 5,422
GE13 Prediction: PKR may pull off an upset

There are 24 parliamentary seats up for grabs in Perak. 13 are currently held by BN, while the rest are under PR. However, this is a possible opportunity for PR to wrestle more seats from BN come the next GE. We'll see what happens by then.

Current score in Perak: BN 13-11 PR
Prediction score in Perak: PR 21-3 BN

Total prediction score: PR 88-46 BN

Voting patterns (Part 6)

Now, I will visit Kelantan, where PAS has ruled since 1990. The parliamentary seats are as below:

P19 - Tumpat
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 1,820
2008 majority - 9,377
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat comfortably

P20 - Pengkalan Chepa
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 6,222
2008 majority - 11,311
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat comfortably

P21 - Kota Bharu
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 1,723 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 11,288 (PAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat comfortably

P22 - Pasir Mas
Incumbent: BEBAS (Datuk Ibrahim Ali - UMNO stooge)
2004 majority - 1,251 (PAS)
2008 majority - 8,991 (BEBAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P23 - Rantau Panjang
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 732
2008 majority - 4,486
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P24 - Kubang Kerian
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 5,627
2008 majority - 10,642
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat comfortably

P25 - Bachok
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 3,272 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 2,901 (PAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P26 - Ketereh
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 2,888 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 400 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P27 - Tanah Merah
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 2,527 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 1,584 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P28 - Pasir Puteh
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 3,810
2008 majority - 3,968
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P29 - Machang
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 135 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 1,460 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P30 - Jeli
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 7,353
2008 majority - 4,436
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P31 - Kuala Krai
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 2,416 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 4,984 (PAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P32 - Gua Musang
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 6,598
2008 majority - 4,394
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

From what I observe so far up to this point, Kelantan may retain status quo come the next GE. No seats gained, and no seats lost. 14 parliamentary seats, 12 controlled by PR and 2 by BN (I call the Minister of Trade Datuk Pa while my only favourite UMNO politician, Ku Li, holds the Gua Musang seat. Why do I call him Datuk Pa? Well, let's just say my mom is good friends with his wife. That's why.)

Current score in Kelantan: PR 12-2 BN
Prediction score in Kelantan: PR 12-2 BN

Total prediction score: PR 67-43 BN

I'll continue with Part 7 another time. In the meantime, let's sit back and enjoy the upcoming show in Bagan Pinang on the 11th of October.

Voting patterns (Part 5)

Now I will visit Pahang and Terengganu. The list of parliamentary seats are as below:

PAHANG

P78 - Cameron Highlands
Incumbent: BN(MIC)
2004 majority - 6,260
2008 majority - 3,117
GE13 Prediction: DAP may pull off an upset

P79 - Lipis
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 7,624
2008 majority - 4,137
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P80 - Raub
Incumbent: BN(MCA)
2004 majority - 9,752
2008 majority - 2,752
GE13 Prediction: DAP may pull off an upset

P81 - Jerantut
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 8,457
2008 majority - 1,946
GE13 Prediction: PAS may pull off an upset

P82 - Indera Mahkota
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 14,229 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 1,027 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P83 - Kuantan
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 9,147 (MCA)
2008 majority - 1,826 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P84 - Paya Besar
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 12,518
2008 majority - 8,503
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P85 - Pekan
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 22,922
2008 majority - 26,464
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P86 - Maran
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 7,242
2008 majority - 6,641
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P87 - Kuala Krau
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 7,351
2008 majority - 5,265
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P88 - Temerloh
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 12,607
2008 majority - 2,441
GE13 Prediction: PKR may pull off an upset

P89 - Bentong
Incumbent: BN(MCA)
2004 majority - 16,839
2008 majority - 12,549
GE13 Prediction: MCA to retain the seat comfortably

P90 - Bera
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 4,470
2008 majority - 3,821
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P91 - Rompin
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 9,350
2008 majority - 10,679
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

The list above shows the Pahang parliamentary seats. There are 14 of them in total, with 2 held by PKR, and the rest are controlled by BN. Some of the seats may change hands come the next GE, we may never know. Now, I will move on to Terengganu.

Current score in Pahang: BN 12-2 PR
Prediction score in Pahang: BN 8-6 PR

Total prediction score: PR 52-36 BN

TERENGGANU

P33 - Besut
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 8,500
2008 majority - 10,590
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P34 - Setiu
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 6,696
2008 majority - 7,232
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P35 - Kuala Nerus
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 4,097
2008 majority - 1,341
GE13 Prediction: PAS may pull off an upset

P36 - Kuala Terengganu
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 1,933 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 628 (UMNO)
2009 majority (by-election) - 2,631 (PAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P37 - Marang
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 163 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 2,747 (PAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P38 - Hulu Terengganu
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 7,760
2008 majority - 10,460
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P39 - Dungun
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 4,896
2008 majority - 4,994
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P40 - Kemaman
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 15,882
2008 majority - 12,683
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

The list above shows the Terengganu parliamentary seats. There are 8 of them. 2 are controlled by PAS, while the rest comes under UMNO. Terengganu is a fortress for UMNO, so they shouldn't have much difficulties in defending Terengganu come the next GE.

Current score in Terengganu: BN 6-2 PR
Prediction score in Terengganu: BN 5-3 PR

Total prediction score: PR 55-41 BN

PAS 4 ALL.

Voting patterns (Part 4)

Ok...So, after visiting Johor, Malacca, Negeri Sembilan, and Selangor, I would now focus on Wilayah Persekutuan parliamentary seats. Before March 8, it was mostly BN stronghold. March 8, all that changed. Thanks to the Internet. Ok, enough of the crap, the list below are the results and predictions:

P114 - Kepong
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 1,854
2008 majority - 23,848
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P115 - Batu
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 11,517 (GERAKAN)
2008 majority - 9,455 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat comfortably

P116 - Wangsa Maju
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 10,185 (MCA)
2008 majority - 150 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat comfortably

P117 - Segambut
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 16,968 (GERAKAN)
2008 majority - 7,732 (DAP)
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P118 - Setiawangsa
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 19,669
2008 majority - 8,134
GE13 Prediction: PKR may pull off an upset

P119 - Titiwangsa
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 11,815 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 1,972 (PAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P120 - Bukit Bintang
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 304
2008 majority - 14,277
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P121 - Lembah Pantai
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 15,288 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 2,895 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P122 - Seputeh
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 12,895
2008 majority - 36,492
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P123 - Cheras
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 11,861
2008 majority - 28,300
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P124 - Bandar Tun Razak
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 17,527 (MCA)
2008 majority - 2,515 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P125 - Putrajaya
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 3,546
2008 majority - 2,734
GE13 Prediction: UMNO may retain the seat comfortably

From the list above, there are 12 parliamentary seats in Wilayah Persekutuan. PR currently holds 10 of them, while BN only has 2 of them. Based on the tsunami factor, it will be mostly status quo, except that Zulhasnan Rafique may lose his seat come the next GE, making it even more lopsided than it is, thanks to the relevation of the Internet. Another fortress for PR.

Current score in Wilayah Persekutuan: PR 10-2 BN
Prediction score in Wilayah Persekutuan: PR 11-1 BN

Total prediction score after 5 states analysed: PR 46-28 BN

I will continue with voting patterns (Part 5) next time.

PAS 4 ALL.

Voting patterns (Part 3)

Today, I will focus on Selangor parliamentary seats. Same assumption from before. The list below shows the Selangor seats:

P92 - Sabak Bernam
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 5,348
2008 majority - 1,335
GE13 Prediction: PKR may pull off an upset

P93 - Sungai Besar
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 7,349
2008 majority - 5,009
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P94 - Hulu Selangor
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 14,483 (MIC)
2008 majority - 198 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P95 - Tanjung Karang
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 9,008
2008 majority - 3,820
GE13 Prediction: PAS may pull off an upset

P96 - Kuala Selangor
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 13,662 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 862 (PAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P97 - Selayang
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 23,226 (MCA)
2008 majority - 3,567 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat comfortably

P98 - Gombak
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 13,207 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 6,867 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat comfortably

P99 - Ampang
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 19,732 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 3,676 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat comfortably

P100 - Pandan
Incumbent: BN(MCA)
2004 majority - 14,112
2008 majority - 2,961
GE13 Prediction: PKR may pull off an upset

P101 - Hulu Langat
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 22,777 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 1,745 (PAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat

P102 - Serdang
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 11,280 (MCA)
2008 majority - 21,025 (DAP)
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P103 - Puchong
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 11,882 (GERAKAN)
2008 majority - 12,593 (DAP)
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P104 - Kelana Jaya
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 21,571 (MCA)
2008 majority - 5,031 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat comfortably

P105 - PJ Selatan
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 21,416 (MCA)
2008 majority - 5,706 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat comfortably

P106 - PJ Utara
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 13,043 (MCA)
2008 majority - 19,972 (DAP)
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P107 - Subang
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 15,460 (MIC)
2008 majority - 6,709 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat comfortably

P108 - Shah Alam
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 13,410 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 9,314 (PAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat comfortably

P109 - Kapar
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 14,588 (MIC)
2008 majority - 12,297 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat comfortably

P110 - Klang
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 13,281 (MCA)
2008 majority - 17,701 (DAP)
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P111 - Kota Raja
Incumbent: PR(PAS)
2004 majority - 8,239 (MIC)
2008 majority - 20,751 (PAS)
GE13 Prediction: PAS may retain the seat comfortably

P112 - Kuala Langat
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 21,495 (UMNO)
2008 majority - 989 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat

P113 - Sepang
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 18.837
2008 majority - 4,849
GE Prediction: PAS may pull off an upset

From the list above, there are 22 parliamentary seats in Selangor. PR currently holds 17 of them, while the other 5 seats are held by BN. Based on the tsunami factor, BN may only win 1 seat come the next GE, which is in Sungai Besar. It may become a fortress for PR in the richest state of the country.

Current score in Selangor: PR 17-5 BN
Prediction score in Selangor: PR 21-1 BN

Total prediction score: PR 35-27 BN

I will continue with voting patterns (Part 4) probably tomorrow.

PAS 4 ALL.

Voting patterns (Part 2)

For today, I would focus on Malacca and Negeri Sembilan Parliamentary seats. Using the same assumption from my previous post, I have listed the Malacca and Negeri Sembilan seats as below, and whether there is a chance for a seat to change hands or maintained by the same party:

MALACCA

P134 - Masjid Tanah
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 18,399
2008 majority - 12,285
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P135 - Alor Gajah
Incumbent: BN(MCA)
2004 majority - 22,548
2008 majority - 12,884
GE13 Prediction: MCA to retain the seat comfortably

P136 - Tangga Batu
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 24,444
2008 majority - 14,500
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P137 - Bukit Katil
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 27,252
2008 majority - 1,758
GE13 Prediction: PKR may pull off an upset

P138 - Kota Melaka
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 219 (MCA)
2008 majority - 11,390 (DAP)
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain their seat coomfortably

P139 - Jasin
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 21,334
2008 majority - 12,490
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain their seat comfortably

So, from the list above, there are only 6 parliamentary seats in Malacca. Only 1 is currently held by DAP, while the other 5 seats are in BN's control. Based on the tsunami factor alone, 1 BN seat, which is Bukit Katil, may fall to PKR in the next GE. As I said many times before, it is just a prediction. Anything can happen between now and the next GE. Now, I would move on to the Negeri Sembilan parliamentary seats.

Current score in Malacca: BN 5-1 PR
Prediction score in Malacca: BN 4-2 PR

Total prediction score so far (Johor & Malacca): BN 22-10 PR


NEGERI SEMBILAN

P126 - Jelebu
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 14,780
2008 majority - 11,610
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P127 - Jempol
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 17,080
2008 majority - 12,320
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P128 - Seremban
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 16,236 (MCA)
2008 majority - 3,948 (DAP)
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P129 - Kuala Pilah
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 13,342
2008 majority - 10,008
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P130 - Rasah
Incumbent: PR(DAP)
2004 majority - 4,563 (MCA)
2008 majority - 13,151 (DAP)
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat comfortably

P131 - Rembau
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 18,656
2008 majority - 5,746
GE13 Prediction: PKR may pull off an upset

P132 - Teluk Kemang
Incumbent: PR(PKR)
2004 majority - 17,777 (MIC)
2008 majority - 2,804 (PKR)
GE13 Prediction: PKR may retain the seat comfortably

P133 - Tampin
Incumbent: BN(UMNO)
2004 majority - 18,084
2008 majority - 13,079
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

From the list above, there are 8 parliamentary seats in Negeri Sembilan. 3 is held by PR, while 5 is held by BN. Based on assumption of tsunami factor, the Rembau seat (held by KJ) may fall to PKR in the next GE. Thus, making it an even game between BN and PR.

Current score in Negeri Sembilan: BN 5-3 PR
Prediction score in Negeri Sembilan: BN 4-4 PR

Total prediction score: BN 26-14 PR

I will continue with voting patterns (Part 3) whenever I'm free to do so.

PAS 4 ALL.

Voting patterns (Part 1)

Today, I will focus on the Johorean parliamentary seats. Now, ASSUMING the political tsunami would last until the next General Elections, below are the seats that will either change hands or maintained in one party's control come next GE13 (Note: this is just an assumption. Do not forget to take other factors into account):

P140 - Segamat
Incumbent: BN (MIC)
2004 majority - 7,809
2008 majority - 2,991
GE13 Prediction: DAP may pull off an upset

P141 - Sekijang
Incumbent: BN (UMNO)
2004 majority - 14,842
2008 majority - 9,867
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P142 - Labis
Incumbent: BN (MCA)
2004 majority - 10,729
2008 majority - 4,094
GE13 Prediction: DAP may pull off an upset

P143 - Pagoh
Incumbent: BN (UMNO)
2004 majority - 18,747
2008 majority - 12,581
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P144 - Ledang
Incumbent: BN (UMNO)
2004 majority - 21,671
2008 majority - 7,617
GE13 Prediction: DAP may pull off an upset

P145 - Bakri
Incumbent: PR (DAP)
2004 majority - 19,059 (MCA)
2008 majority - 722 (DAP)
GE13 Prediction: DAP may retain the seat more comfortably

P146 - Muar
Incumbent: BN (UMNO)
2004 majority - 13,415
2008 majority - 4,661
GE13 Prediction: PKR may pull off an upset

P147 - Parit Sulong
Incumbent: BN (UMNO)
2004 majority - 17,186
2008 majority - 13,599
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P148 - Ayer Hitam
Incumbent: BN (MCA)
2004 majority - 15,763
2008 majority - 13,909
GE13 Prediction: MCA to retain the seat comfortably

P149 - Sri Gading
Incumbent: BN (UMNO)
2004 majority - 16,196
2008 majority - 10,874
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P150 - Batu Pahat
Incumbent: BN (UMNO)
2004 majority - 29,102
2008 majority - 12,704
GE13 Prediction: PKR may pull off an upset

P151 - Simpang Renggam
Incumbent: BN (GERAKAN)
2004 majority - 14,155
2008 majority - 7,853
GE13 Prediction: GERAKAN to retain the seat comfortably

P152 - Kluang
Incumbent: BN (MCA)
2004 majority - 18,698
2008 majority - 3,781
GE13 Prediction: DAP may pull off an upset

P153 - Sembrong
Incumbent: BN (UMNO)
2004 majority - 16,978
2008 majority - 11,570
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P154 - Mersing
Incumbent: BN (UMNO)
2004 majority - 14,573
2008 majority - 13,736
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P155 - Tenggara
Incumbent: BN (UMNO)
2004 majority - 17,088
2008 majority - 14,049
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P156 - Kota Tinggi
Incumbent: BN (UMNO)
2004 majority - Uncontested
2008 majority - 18,961
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P157 - Pengerang
Incumbent: BN (UMNO)
2004 majority - Uncontested
2008 majority - Walkover
GE13 Prediction: A stroll in the park for UMNO

P158 - Tebrau
Incumbent: BN (MCA)
2004 majority - 26,011
2008 majority - 14,658
GE13 Prediction: MCA to retain the seat comfortably

P159 - Pasir Gudang
Incumbent: BN (UMNO)
2004 majority - 31,121
2008 majority - 17,281
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P160 - Johor Bahru
Incumbent: BN (UMNO)
2004 majority - 46,792
2008 majority - 25,349
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P161 - Pulai
Incumbent: BN (UMNO)
2004 majority - 34,926
2008 majority - 20,449
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P162 - Gelang Patah
Incumbent: BN (MCA)
2004 majority - 31,666
2008 majority - 8,851
GE13 Prediction: PKR may pull off an upset

P163 - Kulai
Incumbent: BN (MCA)
2004 majority - 18,144
2008 majority - 11,744
GE13 Prediction: MCA to retain the seat comfortably

P164 - Pontian
Incumbent: BN (UMNO)
2004 majority - 21,158
2008 majority - 14,444
GE13 Prediction: UMNO to retain the seat comfortably

P165 - Tanjung Piai
Incumbent: BN (MCA)
2004 majority - 23,615
2008 majority - 12,371
GE13 Prediction: MCA to retain the seat comfortably


So...from the list above, there are 26 parliamentary seats in Johor. Only 1 is currently held by DAP, while the rest goes to BN. Based on the tsunami factors alone, the prediction is gonna be that 8 of the Parliamentary seats would fall to the opposition next GE, while BN will only retain 18 of seats. But mind you, this is only a prediction. Anything can happen between now and the next General Elections. So, brace yourself for turbulent times ahead.

Current score in Johor: BN 25 - 1 PR
Prediction score in Johor: BN 18 - 8 PR

I will continue with voting patterns (Part 2) when I can find the time.

The link between politics and marketing

Now, let us apply the buyer-decision process of marketing theory and practice. Instead of buyers, we'll take voters in this case. So, we call it the voter-decision process, but the process is still the same.

1. Problem recognition

Take a perspective Malaysian voter who is just starting to follow politics. S/he feels the need to follow politics as it is becoming more interesting as time goes by. As we know, we have the 2 biggest rivals in Malaysian politics, BN and PR. So, he feels the need to choose a side in politics (although not all are aligned to one party or another; there are fence-voters of course). Now, we move on to the next step.

2. Information search

Assume that this prospective voter does not have Internet access. His/her only source of information comes from newspapers, such as Utusan Malaysia (no doubt it is Ugutan Melayu going by their racist articles), The Star, The Sun, Sinar Harian, Harakah and many more. Say s/he reads only the Utusan Malaysia and The Star. Then, by perception, she believes the spins and thus, making her evaluation of alternatives easier. However, what if she has Internet access after that? Now this is going to be interesting. We have pro-opposition (ex. my blog), neutral (ex. Malaysiakini) and pro-government (ex. rocky bru) blogs. If she reads pro-opposition blogs, there is a chance that she might not believe the spin in the newspapers as they don't reveal as much news as there should be. However, if she reads pro-government blogs, there is more of a chance that she will be influenced by pro-government views. So, we move on to the next step.

3. Evaluation of alternatives

We have two possible alternatives in politics, which are BN and PR. The information process will influence the voter to choose which side s/he will choose in politics. Depending on which information she depends on, it is going to influence her in her decision to support which political party. If s/he is exposed only to newspapers, the more likely s/he will be aligned to vote for BN (gov't of the day). However, if she is also exposed to the internet, then it is more likely that s/he will be leaned towards the opposition (PR in this case). As we have observed, the internet is becoming more important in the disseminating of information to the people. It has to a certain extent affect newspaper circulations as more and more Malaysian people are relying on the Internet for the latest news in which some would not be reported in the newspapers. It is one of the major factors in which BN lost their 2/3 majority in Parliament last General Elections. This is because BN were ignoring the changes in behaviour of the Malaysian people once they are exposed to the Internet. They never thought the Internet would be such a threat to their position as of now. They may have learned their lesson when they started blogs of their own after that, but it may have been too little too late as the opposition blogs had captured a large pie of the Internet market. Oh well, it is going to make the next General Election more interesting in 3 years' time.

4. Voting decision

After evaluating the alternatives, the prospective voter may choose to vote for BN or PR, or may not even vote at all. Let's say if this prospective voter had voted for the first time in last year's General Elections. S/he votes for BN and thinks that a stable government is very important. However, she had one of the shocks of her life when the news came out tomorrow that the opposition (PR) had denied BN a 2/3 majority in parliament and 5 states (not including Wilayah Persekutuan) had fallen to PR. So, this will make him/her think. Had she voted for the right party? This will lead us to the last step, which is explained below.

5. Post-voting behaviour

After we buy stuff or after the voting process, each of us will feel cognitive dissonance, which is an inner conflict on whether s/he had made the right decision or not. In this case, the prospective voter would feel cognitive dissonance on whether she made the right decision in choosing BN. Therefore, it is a job for BN marketers to assure that she had made the right choice, but at the same time, the PR marketers would try to create more dilemma that s/he has to influence him/her that she had made the wrong choice. So, it depends on how s/he will react after that. She might switch allegiance or not, depending on his/her perception at that moment in time.


As you see from the explanations I made above, I say political parties needs marketing in order to promote their brand of politics. Since our world is shaped by perception, it is important for political parties to sway the perception of the voters to support them. Since PR is getting more and more support by the day, it is because their marketing strategy is effective. What does BN have to do in order to recapture the market that they lost? That I leave to you BN supporters to think. For me, the PR marketing is a more attractive proposition to me.

PAS 4 ALL.

Permatang Pasir by-election

Voter turnout: 73.1% (down from 82.6% last GE)
No. of votes: 14,685

PAS: Mohd Salleh Man - 9,618
BN: Rohaizat Othman - 5,067

Majoriti - 4,551

Allahu Akbar! Hidup hidup! Hidup RAKYAT!
Alhamdulillah.

My 150th post

For this post, I just want to talk a bit about the Permatang Pasir by-election, which is going to be held tomorrow from 8.00am till 5.00pm.

As we all know, the incumbent from PAS had won with a convincing 5,400 majority last GE. However, I don't harbour high hopes for PAS to even win by a 2,000 majority (lest to mention that phantom voters + less turnout would hurt PAS a lot). Even Mahfuz Omar targeted only a 1 vote victory at least for PAS, as nothing is certain.

Thus, I am praying hard for a PAS victory in Permatang Pasir, regardless of the majority.

PAS 4 ALL

A turbulent week

If I decide to take Accounting and Economics as my double major, where does that leave me in all this?

A possibility of missing up the challenge of studying in Australia.

Anyway, there's plenty of time to think about it. Now there are current priorities that are needed to be fulfilled.

1) Biz law assignment
2) Marketing submission
3) Macro assignment
4) Accounts tutorial

The pressure of work is getting to me. Will I be able to hold on? Oh Allah, please help me get through this.

What assignments do I have this weekend?

Before I take a nice bath, I would like to list down my priorities for this weekend:
1. Accounts tutorial + assignment
2. Business Law tutorial + assignment
3. Marketing weekly submission + presentation
4. Macroeconomics tutorial

Well... That's even busier than my so called busiest weekend ever last week. What the hell... So, should I call it the most free weekend I've ever had?

What I'm gonna do today

I've finished my Malaysian Studies assignment yesterday. Now I got to study for the quiz tomorrow. THIS SUCKS! Oh well, I love uni life rather than pre-U life. Pre-U life in Sri KDU Smart School is one hell of a nightmare. At one point, I almost failed before the exams even begin. That is what happens when you are a pioneer batch. You take the hit for someone else.

Ok, back to my title: What I'm gonna do today? Well, there's plenty of things I should do today. The list is as follows:
1. Biz law - Tutorial and possibly, assignment
2. Accounts - Tutorial and possibly, assignment
3. Marketing - Tutorial (very very important)
4. Macroeconomics - Tutorial (least important)

Every marketing tutorial work contributes to my final percentage. It is of the upmost importance that I complete it by today. Biz law tutorial? Well, my tutor is strict about those coming to class unprepared. Luckily I've been prepared since day one. No prisoners taken.

Accounts? I've done the problems necessary. Just the questions part that need finishing. I may also start part of the assignment if I have the time to do so. Macro? My tutorial is this Wednesday, so I'll postpone doing it till the day itself as I have a break between 11.00am and 4.00pm. Plenty of time to do it. Oh yes... I got plenty of time on my hands, but that doesn't mean it will be wasted down the drain on this dull weekend. As I said, this is gonna be my busiest weekend ever in my whole life.

Anti-ISA demo

There are going to be roadblocks everywhere in KL tomorrow. Yup, that's right. To prevent the people from demonstrating against ISA. Najib says rallies are pointless as they are reviewing the ISA. We never wanted a review sir. We want abolishment. And if you say rallies at pointless, why do you need roadblocks then? Just let them demonstrate if they want. Are you afraid of the demonstration sir? Never ever underestimate the power of rallies. Look at BERSIH almost 2 years back. Where does that lead us? Denying BN 2/3 majority.

Of course I won't be going to the demo. I wanted to, but I just can't. But I still support the demo anyway. To those aligned with ISA, please, I don't share your views. I have my own views. So, no point trying to give me whatever links of supporting ISA. That is FINAL. DO YOU HEAR??? Sure, you are free to visit my blog anytime. It's your right. But trying to change my views about why I am against ISA, don't even think about it. Because it won't work.

Shadows

Shadows... Shadows... In the world we're living on...
Shadows... Shadows... In the world we're living on...
Shadows... Shadows... We're alone in the world we own...
Shadows... Shadows... We're alone in the world we own...

SHADOWS. There's no way we can run from our shadows of the past. They are witnesses to what we do in the past. Ouuu yes, they were there all the time... Only we didn't realise it. We just treat it as nothing but a shadow. So... what's a shadow? When did it first exist? I don't know. I will never know. As far as I know, shadows will be glued to us until the day we die.

Why is this post about shadows? I don't know. I've done it unknowingly, unconsciously. Digging up my dark past is a dangerous job. I only wish I could erase it from my memory. I only wish I hadn't done what I wasn't supposed to do in the first place. I regret my past mistakes. I will never forget them. It will be a lesson until the day I die.

Don't judge me based on my past. Judge me based on my present and future times. The Chamber of Secrets are safe and sound in my head. But how long can I keep it? Do I have the capability of keeping dark secrets until the day I die?

*Sigh* I don't know what drives me to post this. But it makes me wonder... What's the purpose of living on Earth? To have fun? To eat a lot of good food? To study? To seek knowledge? To die? I don't know. You answer me then...

2nd Semester

My 2nd semester in uni started yesterday.

1st on the agenda: Business Law. It can turn out to be an interesting subject, although it requires a lot of reading.

2nd on the agenda: Malaysia Studies. The lecturer of this subject is a killer interest. Not only does he speak slowly, he doesn't stop. Zzzzzzz.......

After that, my day in uni is finished for the day. At 3.15pm, I went to Sunway Pyramid to watch the 6th Harry Potter movie with 3 friends: Amy, Sabrina & Lydia. I can safely say that most of the images imagined in my head when reading the book before that is what I imagined.

6.30pm, I went back to uni. I stayed there for an hour or so to study. At 7.40pm, I went back home.

It was an eventful 1st day back in uni, although I was suffering from a bout of food poisoning (4 days running) and sinus. The early semester stress is over. OFF TO WORK.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

Robert F Kennedy back in 1968:
"GDP does not allow for the health of our children, the quality of their education, or the joy of their play. It does not include the beauty of our poetry or the strength of our marriages, the intelligence of our public debate or the integrity of our public officials. It measures neither our courage, nor our wisdom, nor our devotion to our country. It measures everything, in short, except that which makes life worthwhile, and it can tell us everything about America except why we are proud that we are Americans."

MU 3-2 Malaysia

I got a ticket for the match at the last minute, the day before the match. One of my friends got an extra ticket so he sold it to me. So yea, I'm definitely going to the match.

I arrived at the Bukit Jalil stadium 30 minutes before the kickoff at 5.30pm and it was so many people walking towards the stadium. Not to mention business opportunities to sell MU merchandise, Malaysia merchandise, horns, food, drinks, etc... can be seen along the way walking to the stadium.

Alrite, to cut the story short, let's get on with the match. If you are to tell me that Malaysia is gonna put up one hell of a fight and get close to even winning the match, I wouldn't have believe it at all. No one knew the result that is in store.

Cheers all over the stadium as the match kicks off. Malaysia had some decent chances before Rooney scored in the 8th minute. Celebrations went wild. 1-0 United. My comment: "Hmm, ini guarantee Malaysia kena belasah macam dulu."

MU started to control the match as the Malaysian team fight for their lives not to concede another. Another United goal duly came through Nani in the 28th minute after being set-up nicely by Rooney. 2-0 United. My comment: "Huahuahua, ini guarantee 6-0."

Everything seems normal for the rest of the way until something unexpected happened. Right before half-time, the Malaysian goalkeeper kicked upfield only for Evra to misjudge the flight of the ball. The ball fell to Amri Yahyah who saw Van der Sar off his line and a speculative shot over the keeper flew into the net. All the MU and Malaysian fans celebrated like mad. 2-1 United. My comment: "Aik? Sejak bila pulak Malaysia pandai score lawan MU?

And so, half-time it is. 2-1 to United. I can bet almost no one expected Malaysia to score against MU at this point.

2nd half began 15 minutes later. The score still 2-1 until another unexpected event happened. Ben Foster, who replaced Van der Sar at half-time for his runout in the game, completely missed the pass by one of his defenders and guess who was on hand to slot it home? It's that man again. Mohd Amri Yahyah, Selangor captain. That was his second goal of the game. 2-2. Everyone started chanting "Malaysia, Malaysia, Malaysia, Malaysia!" My comment: "Haaa??? Malu aa kalau MU kalah nih..."

The moment when Michael Owen came on, there were raucous cheers from all MU fans, including me. We all wanted to see Owen in action. Does the Merseyside man still has it in him?

The game went on with a draw being very likely. A famous result against Man United, I thought. 15 minutes from the end, another bright moment MU fans had been waiting for, Ryan Giggs. He received a similar reception from MU fans as they had done for Owen.

5 minutes from the end, Gibson played a wonderful through pass for Giggs, who was thwarted by the Malaysian keeper along the way, but the ball fell to Michael Owen, who beat his marker and then calmly slotted home into an empty net. WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
OWEN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 3-2 United.

Then, the final whistle blew and everyone stood up and applaused the MU and Malaysian players for such an entertaining match. But the scoreline says it all... 3-2 United. No one would have predicted the result in the first place.

Oh well, I should have bought a Malaysian merchandise before I went home. From what I think about the match, Malaysia played like they are one of the English Premier League clubs. They defended their goal like it was made of gold. Well done Malaysia for giving the MU players one hell of a runout.

My Semester 1 results

Alhamdulillah, thank Allah for my success in the 4 subjects I have taken for Semester 1 - The results are as below:

AFW1000 - Principles of Accounting & Finance
Result: 77/100 (Distinction)

ECW1101 - Introductory Microeconomics
Result: 76/100 (Distinction)

ETW1000 - Business & Economics Statistics
Result: 72/100 (Distinction)

MGW1010 - Introduction to Management
Result: 76/100 (Distinction)

MPW2143 - Islamic Studies
Result: Unknown

Well, I just don't know my results for Islamic Studies. I may soon find out. As I end this post, I thank Allah once more for making my success possible. Without his gift of knowledge, I don't know how to survive this evolving world. Alhamdulillah.

Manek Urai by-election

PAS retained its Manek Urai seat by a majority of only 65 votes. Oh well, a victory is still a victory. However, for BN to reduce the majority significantly from 1,300 last time is really something.

PAS historically doesn't really perform well in Kelantan by-elections. Look back at Pengkalan Pasir (2005). It was won by PAS in the 2004 General Election by a narrow majority and BN wrest it back with a comfortable majority of 1,800. Yes, it brought PAS into a very critical state in the Assembly at the time. A razor thin 23-22 seats.

Annuar Musa challenged Tok Guru Nik Aziz to dissolve the Assembly, but Tok Guru says there's no need for it. And so, PAS held on to Kelantan by that razor 1 seat majority in the assembly until the parliament dissolves in February 2008, by our then PM, Tun Abdullah Badawi.

And so, BN hopes were high in wrestling back Kelantan after 17 years of rule. "Blue wave in Kelantan" as the mainstream media reported. Awang Adek dreams of being the new Menteri Besar of Kelantan.

However, come election day, BN were almost wiped out in Kelantan. They only won 6 seats out of the 45 contested. Even the Pengkalan Pasir seat that they won back in 2005 fell back to PAS, who won by a 2,300 majority, a swing of 4,100 in majority.

Oh well, Awang Adek's dreams of becoming the new Kelantan MB came up short and guess what? He's now our Deputy Finance Minister. Even better than his dream of becoming the new Kelantan MB. :P

Back to Manek Urai. It's a Malay heartland. 99.3% are Malay constituents. So, the results has clearly shown that no party has the clear Malay support. It's truly split in half. Not to mention Kelantan politics is different compared to other states. They look at the candidate, first things first, not party. If the candidate is good, they'll vote for him, regardless of his party, even if he/she is a PAS or UMNO supporter. They will vote for the candidate.

Take a good example of its incumbent, Allahyarham Ismail Yaacob or more affectionally known as Paksu Wel. He had first contested the seat in 1986 and won. After that, he endeared himself to the Manek Urai people from that point on. He is a good person, very helpful in solving the problems constituents faced over the years. His leadership of that kind can be considered irreplaceable. Just look at the 2004 General Election, when he did not contest, BN manage to win by a slim majority of 53 votes. Yes, Manek Urai people wanted him as their 'wakil rakyat' as he had been with them for 18 years, and they have shown their dissatisfaction to PAS for leaving him out of the fold by voting for a BN victory.

PAS has learned their lesson from that point on and come the next General Election, held on March 8 last year, Paksu Wel is back contesting for PAS and the result? Winning by a majority of 1,352. That says it all about Paksu Wel. Truly a people's leader. Everyone in Manek Urai knows Paksu Wel very well after all these years. Then, Allah gave him a test. Gaot. It affected his health badly and when the time comes, he returned to his Creator back in May. May Allah bless his soul. Al-Fatihah.

Blatant abuse of power in the run up to Manek Urai by-election

We are facing yet another by election, this time in Manik Urai, Kelantan.Even before nomination day, already several controversies have begun to surface.Please read news Items 1 & 2 before proceeding to article below.

Item 1
---------
MP seek clarification on Army abused for campaign in Manek Urai

Quote :
Apparently, the Defence Ministry has instructed the army to launch ‘projects’ at Manek Urai in Kelantan in order to increase support for the ruling BN coalition ahead of the by-election there on July 14.

Source : http://mafrel.wordpress.com/2009/06/25/mp-seek-clarification-on-army-abused-for-campaign-in-manek-urai/

Item 2
--------
MANIK URAI, 23 Jun (Bernama) -- Seramai 187 guru dan warga pendidik yang layak mengundi pada pilihan raya kecil kawasan Dewan Undangan Negeri Manik Urai pada 14 Julai ini diseru supaya memilih calon Barisan Nasional (BN) bagi memastikan Pelan Induk Pembangunan Pendidikan (PIPP) berjaya dilaksanakan.

Timbalan Menteri Pelajaran, Dr Mohd Puad Zarkashi berkata walaupun pemilihan calon merupakan hak seseorang individu, namun sokongan terhadap kerajaan akan memastikan PIPP dapat dilaksanakan demi faedah generasi masa depan.

"Kita berharap para guru dapat membantu menjayakan agenda pendidikan negara ini," katanya.

Puad berkata kerajaan kini dalam proses untuk membina negara bangsa yang cemerlang menerusi sistem pendidikan yang maju.

"Kita juga sedang meningkatkan taraf guru dan untuk itu mereka mestilah bersama kita," katanya.

-- BERNAMA
Source : http://www.bernama.com/bernama/v3/bm/news_lite.php?id=420166

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On 22nd May 2009, PAS Elections Director Datuk Mustafa Ali said"Barisan will surely lose. So it might as well not bother to contest,"
I agree with Datuk Mustafa Ali, PAS has held the Manik Urai seat for 5 terms, when BN could not even retain its Kuala Terengganu seat
where it was the incumbent in a by election.


BN of course has decided to contest, that is their right, but the actions highlighted above are not within their rights.
After a hatrick of by election losses BN seems desperate for a win in Manik Urai.
Desperate is an understatement, more like blatant abuse.It is an election offence to use MINDEF and the Education Ministry.
What happened to Najib's statement that there will be no more "Maggi Mee" or instant projects that are rolled out just before elections ?
Or is the BN afraid that it cannot play its postal voter trump card owing to the fact that there are only 25 postal voter's in Manik Urai ?

The Deputy Education Minister has no business canvassing votes from teachers under a thinly veiled disguise of advancing the education agenda
then making a statement that implies that their status will be upgraded if the vote was given to BN.
In most developed countries the Minister of Defence and Education would have resigned in shame.

What is SPR doing about this ? Are they ignorant that it is an offence to use public facilities for election purposes ?
With all the hue and cry they made over "pondok panas" and reminders to stop campaigning on polling day,
have they now conveniently forgotten that campaigning can only start on nomination day on 06 July and stop at
midnight on 13 July ?
SPR should stop all campaigning and issue warnings to any party that flouts this rule whether Opposition or BN.

SPR will for the first time, be issuing coloured stickers to identify the party vehicles -- BN will have blue stickers, Pas green and independents orange.
Since this will be to control traffic for party vehicles ferrying voters to the polling center's, why discriminate by color codes ?
Does it matter from which party the vehicles belong to if their function is to ferry voters ? Or is there a hidden nefarious purpose ?

If SPR cannot do their job without fear or favor they should just step aside and allow MAFREL to show them how it is done.

While I am at it I also want to point out PDRM's misplaced sense of priorities, what is the big idea behind deploying a police
force of 1,000 to oversee a by election in a sleepy hollow with a population of 25,000 (of which only 12,293 are registered voters)
while high crime townships like Klang with a population of 1,000,000 is policed by a force of only 700 ?
The standard reply " to ensure security " will no longer fly, when time and again the police have been known to break up opposition
"ceramah" and intimidate supporters.

Another blunder is attempting to charge Kelantan menteri besar Tok Guru (Nik Abdul Aziz) under sedition for his chastizing of UMNO,
I suppose instead of engaging Tok Guru on what he said, once again they are bandying the sedition card, an act that has been thrown at
many dissenters but somehow was never used against blatantly seditious politicians who are alligned to BN.
In George Town, Kelantan Barisan Nasional secretary Datuk Md Alwi Che Ahmad said the state Barisan wanted Nik Aziz to make a public apology to the coalition or face possible legal action.
Alwi then goes on to say ‘‘Nik Abdul Aziz should also not travel in any MAS aircraft since it is a government-linked company.”
UMNO Penang factions seem to be the most vociferous and boorish but seem to shoot of their mouth without engaging the brain.
What has that got to do with anything ? Going by Alwi's rationale should he also leave Penang, as the state is ruled by the opposition ?

In the coming days we can expect the compliant mainstream media with its obedient spinwriters dishing out heavy doses of propaganda,
while insulting the intelligence of the general public with the worn out strategy of using psywar to coerce voters to back a perceived "winning horse".
Remember all those spinwriters who came up with a barrage of analysis on why BN will win in the Permatang Pauh by elections ?
Remember the NST front-page article "Blue wave sweeps over Kelantan" in the run up to the 12th General Elections ?
Well, we all know that not only BN lost, but were trounced after making those grandiose proclamations.
Read my lips : Psyway ala Khir Toyo's " zero opposition in Selangor" will not work.

Democracy is not just about free elections but fair ones, even if you are a BN supporter you should voice out these concerns
to your elected representatives, because sooner than you think the tables could be turned in the not too distant future.
I can assure you that I would lambast Pakatan Rakyat too if they condone similar abuses in the event they obtain federal power.

Vijay Kumar Murugavell